Charles Hittler's dominant 92.5% implied probability in the Arcis-sur-Aube mayoral election stems from his incumbency as the sitting mayor, backed by a track record of local infrastructure projects and broad centrist appeal in the Aube department commune. Recent polling aggregates and first-round vote projections from French regional outlets show him leading by wide margins, bolstered by endorsements from traditional right-wing lists and low challenger visibility. Annie Soucat trails at 5% with niche socialist support, while Antoine Renault-Zielinski's 2.8% reflects limited National Rally momentum in this small-town race. Challenges could arise from unexpected turnout surges among far-right voters, a Hittler scandal, or national political tailwinds shifting voter priorities ahead of the March 2026 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Charles Hittler 93%
Annie Soucat 5%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
Charles Hittler
93%
Annie Soucat
5%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski
3%
Charles Hittler 93%
Annie Soucat 5%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski 2.8%
NEW
NEW
Mar 22, 2026
Charles Hittler
$1,533 交易量
93%
Annie Soucat
$386 交易量
5%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski
$317 交易量
3%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
交易量
$2,237结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$2,237结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Charles Hittler's dominant 92.5% implied probability in the Arcis-sur-Aube mayoral election stems from his incumbency as the sitting mayor, backed by a track record of local infrastructure projects and broad centrist appeal in the Aube department commune. Recent polling aggregates and first-round vote projections from French regional outlets show him leading by wide margins, bolstered by endorsements from traditional right-wing lists and low challenger visibility. Annie Soucat trails at 5% with niche socialist support, while Antoine Renault-Zielinski's 2.8% reflects limited National Rally momentum in this small-town race. Challenges could arise from unexpected turnout surges among far-right voters, a Hittler scandal, or national political tailwinds shifting voter priorities ahead of the March 2026 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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