Trader consensus favors 1280-1319 X posts by Elon Musk in March 2026 at 45% implied probability, reflecting his early-month peak of 340-379 posts in resolved weekly bins like March 3-10 and 17-24—averaging 40-50 daily amid Tesla FSD updates and Grok advancements—but a sharp late-March slowdown to 10-16 posts per day, with March 28-30 totaling just 31 amid fewer viral catalysts. The 1320-1359 range trails at 27.5% as crowds weigh steady but subdued recent cadence against potential end-month rebound on March 30-31, per overlapping short-term markets tracking @elonmusk activity via post-counters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1280-1319 45.1%
1320-1359 27.7%
1360-1399 11.2%
1240-1279 7.3%
$3,284,843 交易量
$3,284,843 交易量
Apr 1, 2026
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
7%
1280-1319
45%
1320-1359
28%
1360-1399
11%
1400+
5%
1280-1319 45.1%
1320-1359 27.7%
1360-1399 11.2%
1240-1279 7.3%
$3,284,843 交易量
$3,284,843 交易量
Apr 1, 2026
1200-1239
$385,887 交易量
<1%
1240-1279
$415,598 交易量
7%
1280-1319
$713,632 交易量
45%
1320-1359
$438,963 交易量
28%
1360-1399
$218,374 交易量
11%
1400+
$104,683 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 1280-1319 X posts by Elon Musk in March 2026 at 45% implied probability, reflecting his early-month peak of 340-379 posts in resolved weekly bins like March 3-10 and 17-24—averaging 40-50 daily amid Tesla FSD updates and Grok advancements—but a sharp late-March slowdown to 10-16 posts per day, with March 28-30 totaling just 31 amid fewer viral catalysts. The 1320-1359 range trails at 27.5% as crowds weigh steady but subdued recent cadence against potential end-month rebound on March 30-31, per overlapping short-term markets tracking @elonmusk activity via post-counters.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$3,284,843结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 1280-1319 X posts by Elon Musk in March 2026 at 45% implied probability, reflecting his early-month peak of 340-379 posts in resolved weekly bins like March 3-10 and 17-24—averaging 40-50 daily amid Tesla FSD updates and Grok advancements—but a sharp late-March slowdown to 10-16 posts per day, with March 28-30 totaling just 31 amid fewer viral catalysts. The 1320-1359 range trails at 27.5% as crowds weigh steady but subdued recent cadence against potential end-month rebound on March 30-31, per overlapping short-term markets tracking @elonmusk activity via post-counters.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,284,843结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 1280-1319 X posts by Elon Musk in March 2026 at 45% implied probability, reflecting his early-month peak of 340-379 posts in resolved weekly bins like March 3-10 and 17-24—averaging 40-50 daily amid Tesla FSD updates and Grok advancements—but a sharp late-March slowdown to 10-16 posts per day, with March 28-30 totaling just 31 amid fewer viral catalysts. The 1320-1359 range trails at 27.5% as crowds weigh steady but subdued recent cadence against potential end-month rebound on March 30-31, per overlapping short-term markets tracking @elonmusk activity via post-counters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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