Market icon

Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ?

Market icon

Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ?

1400+ 39.2%

1360-1399 10.1%

1320-1359 6.5%

1240-1279 6.2%

Polymarket

$1,250,598 交易量

1400+ 39.2%

1360-1399 10.1%

1320-1359 6.5%

1240-1279 6.2%

Polymarket

$1,250,598 交易量

340-359

$37,144 交易量

<1%

360-379

$49,664 交易量

<1%

380-399

$30,213 交易量

<1%

400-419

$32,433 交易量

<1%

420-439

$35,869 交易量

<1%

440-459

$26,737 交易量

<1%

460-479

$26,161 交易量

<1%

480-499

$30,257 交易量

<1%

500-519

$30,906 交易量

<1%

520-539

$23,497 交易量

<1%

540-559

$22,643 交易量

<1%

560-579

$31,309 交易量

<1%

580-599

$26,406 交易量

<1%

600-639

$33,998 交易量

1%

640-679

$27,500 交易量

1%

680-719

$33,195 交易量

1%

720-759

$25,374 交易量

<1%

760-799

$17,753 交易量

1%

800-839

$24,694 交易量

<1%

840-879

$20,929 交易量

1%

880-919

$21,760 交易量

1%

920-959

$14,974 交易量

2%

960-999

$19,869 交易量

2%

1000-1039

$22,165 交易量

3%

1040-1079

$14,878 交易量

2%

1080-1119

$16,608 交易量

3%

1120-1159

$15,295 交易量

4%

1160-1199

$20,099 交易量

3%

1200-1239

$15,580 交易量

4%

1240-1279

$16,052 交易量

6%

1280-1319

$17,517 交易量

6%

1320-1359

$25,542 交易量

6%

1360-1399

$25,272 交易量

10%

1400+

$37,025 交易量

39%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,250,598
结束日期
Apr 1, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400+" at 39%, followed by "1360-1399" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ?," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ?" is "1400+" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1360-1399" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk在2026年3月# tweets ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.