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Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日-4月1日?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日-4月1日?

65-89 39%

40-64 26%

90-114 24%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,844 交易量

65-89 39%

40-64 26%

90-114 24%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,844 交易量

少于40条

$1,291 交易量

4%

40-64

$703 交易量

26%

65-89

$678 交易量

39%

90-114

$476 交易量

24%

115-139

$718 交易量

10%

140-164

$954 交易量

3%

165-189

$1,091 交易量

1%

190-214

$1,904 交易量

1%

215-239

$5,235 交易量

<1%

240+

$4,795 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日-4月1日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"65-89",概率为 39%,其次是"40-64",概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 39¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日-4月1日?"已产生 $17.8K 的总交易量(自Mar 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日-4月1日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日-4月1日?"的当前领先者是"65-89",概率为 39%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 39%。紧随其后的结果是"40-64",概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日-4月1日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。