Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times (32.5% implied probability) or 90-114 times (26.5%) from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his recent baseline of 25-35 posts per day on X amid Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) updates, Tesla Cybercab rollout buzz, and SpaceX Starship tests. The closely matched leading bins highlight competitive dynamics driven by Elon's event-responsive posting style—steady during routine weeks but prone to spikes from viral controversies, product reveals, or political commentary, as seen in last week's 92 posts over three days tied to AI regulation debates. With no confirmed 2026 events yet, key differentiators include potential Q1 catalysts like earnings calls or launch windows that could push volumes higher, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game caution on his unpredictable cultural impact.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于65-89 33%
90-114 27%
40-64 18%
115-139 12%
NEW
$22,932 交易量
NEW
$22,932 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
少于40条
2%
40-64
18%
65-89
33%
90-114
27%
115-139
12%
140-164
6%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 33%
90-114 27%
40-64 18%
115-139 12%
NEW
$22,932 交易量
NEW
$22,932 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
少于40条
$3,272 交易量
2%
40-64
$926 交易量
18%
65-89
$1,682 交易量
33%
90-114
$2,675 交易量
27%
115-139
$726 交易量
12%
140-164
$1,735 交易量
6%
165-189
$1,779 交易量
1%
190-214
$1,119 交易量
<1%
215-239
$3,967 交易量
<1%
240+
$5,050 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times (32.5% implied probability) or 90-114 times (26.5%) from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his recent baseline of 25-35 posts per day on X amid Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) updates, Tesla Cybercab rollout buzz, and SpaceX Starship tests. The closely matched leading bins highlight competitive dynamics driven by Elon's event-responsive posting style—steady during routine weeks but prone to spikes from viral controversies, product reveals, or political commentary, as seen in last week's 92 posts over three days tied to AI regulation debates. With no confirmed 2026 events yet, key differentiators include potential Q1 catalysts like earnings calls or launch windows that could push volumes higher, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game caution on his unpredictable cultural impact.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$22,932结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times (32.5% implied probability) or 90-114 times (26.5%) from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his recent baseline of 25-35 posts per day on X amid Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) updates, Tesla Cybercab rollout buzz, and SpaceX Starship tests. The closely matched leading bins highlight competitive dynamics driven by Elon's event-responsive posting style—steady during routine weeks but prone to spikes from viral controversies, product reveals, or political commentary, as seen in last week's 92 posts over three days tied to AI regulation debates. With no confirmed 2026 events yet, key differentiators include potential Q1 catalysts like earnings calls or launch windows that could push volumes higher, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game caution on his unpredictable cultural impact.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$22,932结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Elon Musk posting 65-89 times (32.5% implied probability) or 90-114 times (26.5%) from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his recent baseline of 25-35 posts per day on X amid Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) updates, Tesla Cybercab rollout buzz, and SpaceX Starship tests. The closely matched leading bins highlight competitive dynamics driven by Elon's event-responsive posting style—steady during routine weeks but prone to spikes from viral controversies, product reveals, or political commentary, as seen in last week's 92 posts over three days tied to AI regulation debates. With no confirmed 2026 events yet, key differentiators include potential Q1 catalysts like earnings calls or launch windows that could push volumes higher, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game caution on his unpredictable cultural impact.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题