No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally in the past 30 days per USGS records, with the most recent being a 7.1 off Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula on August 13 amid ongoing Pacific Ring of Fire activity. This lull follows a busier first half of 2024, including a 7.4 in Taiwan (April 3) and 7.6 in Japan (January 1), aligning with the historical average of 12–20 such events annually driven by tectonic plate shifts. Trader consensus reflects this statistical rhythm, pricing low near-term odds absent foreshocks or swarm patterns in high-risk zones like Indonesia or the Aleutians. Monitor USGS alerts and swarm activity for momentum shifts, as quakes remain inherently unpredictable despite ensemble modeling. Key resolution hinges on verified USGS data by market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于又发生了7.0级或以上的地震…… ？
又发生了7.0级或以上的地震…… ？
NEW
May 31, 2026
3月31日
23%
4月30日
80%
5月31日
94%
$6,143 交易量
3月31日
$2,143 交易量
23%
4月30日
$2,462 交易量
80%
5月31日
$1,537 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally in the past 30 days per USGS records, with the most recent being a 7.1 off Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula on August 13 amid ongoing Pacific Ring of Fire activity. This lull follows a busier first half of 2024, including a 7.4 in Taiwan (April 3) and 7.6 in Japan (January 1), aligning with the historical average of 12–20 such events annually driven by tectonic plate shifts. Trader consensus reflects this statistical rhythm, pricing low near-term odds absent foreshocks or swarm patterns in high-risk zones like Indonesia or the Aleutians. Monitor USGS alerts and swarm activity for momentum shifts, as quakes remain inherently unpredictable despite ensemble modeling. Key resolution hinges on verified USGS data by market close.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
交易量
$6,143结束日期
May 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally in the past 30 days per USGS records, with the most recent being a 7.1 off Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula on August 13 amid ongoing Pacific Ring of Fire activity. This lull follows a busier first half of 2024, including a 7.4 in Taiwan (April 3) and 7.6 in Japan (January 1), aligning with the historical average of 12–20 such events annually driven by tectonic plate shifts. Trader consensus reflects this statistical rhythm, pricing low near-term odds absent foreshocks or swarm patterns in high-risk zones like Indonesia or the Aleutians. Monitor USGS alerts and swarm activity for momentum shifts, as quakes remain inherently unpredictable despite ensemble modeling. Key resolution hinges on verified USGS data by market close.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$6,143结束日期
May 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes have struck globally in the past 30 days per USGS records, with the most recent being a 7.1 off Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula on August 13 amid ongoing Pacific Ring of Fire activity. This lull follows a busier first half of 2024, including a 7.4 in Taiwan (April 3) and 7.6 in Japan (January 1), aligning with the historical average of 12–20 such events annually driven by tectonic plate shifts. Trader consensus reflects this statistical rhythm, pricing low near-term odds absent foreshocks or swarm patterns in high-risk zones like Indonesia or the Aleutians. Monitor USGS alerts and swarm activity for momentum shifts, as quakes remain inherently unpredictable despite ensemble modeling. Key resolution hinges on verified USGS data by market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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