Science predictions & odds

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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑500

$6m 交易量

$1m today

$18.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?

97%

500

$267k 交易量

$88.7k today

$15.7k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

10%

$1m 交易量

$65.0k today

$308k Liq.

91

Ends in 11 months

How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Science

Weather

How many inches of snow in NYC this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

21%

12-14

$117k 交易量

$64.5k today

$22.3k Liq.

11

Ends in 2 days

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Science

SpaceX

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

6%

$450k 交易量

$33.5k Liq.

11

Ends in 11 months

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

Science

Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?

84%

0

$160k 交易量

$13.4k Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.05–1.09ºC

$420k 交易量

$40.2k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

Science

Weather

How many inches of snow in Washington D.C. this weekend? (Jan 24-26)

32%

<5

$15.4k 交易量

$10.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 2 days

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

Science

SpaceX

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

66%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

$557k 交易量

$10.3k Liq.

3

Ends in 7 days

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

89%

March 31

$103k 交易量

$8.8k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

$41.6k 交易量

$30.4k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

98%

4th or lower

$321k 交易量

$62.1k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Where will it snow this weekend? (January 24 - 26)

Science

Weather

Where will it snow this weekend? (January 24 - 26)

99%

Washington D.C.

$7.5k 交易量

$7.3k Liq.

2

Ends in 2 days

New pandemic in 2026?

Science

World

New pandemic in 2026?

17%

$44.0k 交易量

$20.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

55%

8+

$795k 交易量

$29.1k Liq.

11

Ends in 5 months

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

$337k 交易量

$66.6k Liq.

22

Ends in 11 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

Science

Weather

How many Tornadoes in the US in January?

98%

<30

$488k 交易量

$13.0k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How many SpaceX launches in January?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in January?

88%

12 or more

$75.2k 交易量

$6.2k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

37%

5-6

$55.9k 交易量

$5.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Human moon landing in 2026?

Science

Culture

Human moon landing in 2026?

6%

$25.8k 交易量

$22.9k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months