Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
Anthropic 3.2%
Discord 1.8%
$1,717,591 交易量
$1,717,591 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
3%
Anthropic
3%
Discord
2%
Databricks
1%
Stripe
1%
Kraken
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
Anthropic 3.2%
Discord 1.8%
$1,717,591 交易量
$1,717,591 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
$209,880 交易量
90%
OpenAI
$309,518 交易量
3%
Anthropic
$348,535 交易量
3%
Discord
$74,602 交易量
2%
Databricks
$73,225 交易量
1%
Stripe
$41,460 交易量
1%
Kraken
$376,914 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$87,768 交易量
<1%
Perplexity AI
$55,793 交易量
<1%
SHEIN
$57,710 交易量
<1%
Waymo
$49,652 交易量
<1%
Revolut
$32,533 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,717,591结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,717,591结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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