格罗克 预测与赔率

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Polymarket currently hosts 15 active markets for 格罗克 that lets you track or trade on predictions like "哪家公司在3月底拥有最好的人工智能模型？". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "XAI是否会在6月30日之前发布dLLM ？". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "哪家公司在3月底拥有最好的人工智能模型？," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "哪家公司在3月底拥有最好的人工智能模型？," where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket's accuracy.

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Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the "Rules" section on any individual market page like "哪家公司在3月底拥有最好的人工智能模型？," to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.