GameStop’s unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay, announced May 3 at a 20-46% premium, has driven the 85.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition. eBay’s board rejected the non-binding proposal on May 12 as “neither credible nor attractive,” citing funding uncertainties despite GameStop’s $9.4 billion balance sheet and TD Securities commitment for up to $20 billion. Analysts highlight the significant size disparity—eBay’s market cap far exceeds GameStop’s—regulatory scrutiny under HSR filings, and limited strategic synergies between a video-game retailer and online marketplace. With no revised terms or shareholder pressure emerging since the rejection, trader consensus prices in substantial execution barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,197,142 交易量
$1,197,142 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$1,197,142 交易量
$1,197,142 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop’s unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay, announced May 3 at a 20-46% premium, has driven the 85.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition. eBay’s board rejected the non-binding proposal on May 12 as “neither credible nor attractive,” citing funding uncertainties despite GameStop’s $9.4 billion balance sheet and TD Securities commitment for up to $20 billion. Analysts highlight the significant size disparity—eBay’s market cap far exceeds GameStop’s—regulatory scrutiny under HSR filings, and limited strategic synergies between a video-game retailer and online marketplace. With no revised terms or shareholder pressure emerging since the rejection, trader consensus prices in substantial execution barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ET
交易量
$1,197,142结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.GameStop’s unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay, announced May 3 at a 20-46% premium, has driven the 85.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition. eBay’s board rejected the non-binding proposal on May 12 as “neither credible nor attractive,” citing funding uncertainties despite GameStop’s $9.4 billion balance sheet and TD Securities commitment for up to $20 billion. Analysts highlight the significant size disparity—eBay’s market cap far exceeds GameStop’s—regulatory scrutiny under HSR filings, and limited strategic synergies between a video-game retailer and online marketplace. With no revised terms or shareholder pressure emerging since the rejection, trader consensus prices in substantial execution barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,197,148结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 9:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...GameStop’s unsolicited $55.5 billion cash-and-stock bid for eBay, announced May 3 at a 20-46% premium, has driven the 85.5% market-implied probability of no acquisition. eBay’s board rejected the non-binding proposal on May 12 as “neither credible nor attractive,” citing funding uncertainties despite GameStop’s $9.4 billion balance sheet and TD Securities commitment for up to $20 billion. Analysts highlight the significant size disparity—eBay’s market cap far exceeds GameStop’s—regulatory scrutiny under HSR filings, and limited strategic synergies between a video-game retailer and online marketplace. With no revised terms or shareholder pressure emerging since the rejection, trader consensus prices in substantial execution barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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