特朗普将提名谁担任美联储主席?
美联储政治

特朗普将提名谁担任美联储主席?

95%

凯文·沃什

$468m 交易量

$6m today

$66m Liq.

1,540

Ends in 11 months

美联储3月份的决定?
美联储政治

美联储3月份的决定?

93%

无变化

$100m 交易量

$3m today

$5m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

2026年美联储降息多少次?
美联储商业

2026年美联储降息多少次?

27%

2(50个基点)

$6m 交易量

$248k today

$796k Liq.

32

Ends in 11 months

美联储4月份的决定?
美联储政治

美联储4月份的决定?

77%

不变

$2m 交易量

$80.4k today

$407k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?
美联储政治

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?

4%

$56.8k 交易量

$13.0k Liq.

美联储6月份的决定?
美联储政治

美联储6月份的决定?

51%

下调25个基点

$279k 交易量

$282k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

杰罗姆·鲍威尔( Jerome Powell )担任美联储主席
美联储政治

杰罗姆·鲍威尔( Jerome Powell )担任美联储主席

8%

5月14日

$992k 交易量

$93.3k Liq.

31

Ends in 3 months

美联储决定( 12月至3月)
美联储财务

美联储决定( 12月至3月)

92%

降息-暂停-暂停

$898k 交易量

$131k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

2026年底的美联储利率是多少?
美联储政治

2026年底的美联储利率是多少?

28%

3.25%

$181k 交易量

$190k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )被...正式提名为美联储主席?
美联储政治

凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )被...正式提名为美联储主席?

60%

2月28日

$361k 交易量

$6.8k Liq.

7

Ends in 14 days

美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平?
美联储政治

美联储利率将在2027年之前达到什么水平?

91%

↓ 3.25%

$596k 交易量

$205k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

3月美联储衍生品: “25个基点降息”在2月28日之前翻转“暂停” ?
美联储政治

3月美联储衍生品: “25个基点降息”在2月28日之前翻转“暂停” ?

3%

$55.6k 交易量

$65.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by Feb 20?
美联储政治

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

10%

>5%

$13.4k 交易量

$25.4k Liq.

Ends in 6 days

美联储降息... ?
美联储财务

美联储降息... ?

72%

六月会议

$801k 交易量

$127k Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

杰罗姆·鲍威尔( Jerome Powell )在6月30日之前被
美联储政治

杰罗姆·鲍威尔( Jerome Powell )在6月30日之前被

4%

$194k 交易量

$16.6k Liq.

31

Ends in 5 months

杰罗姆·鲍威尔( Jerome Powell )从美联储董事
美联储政治

杰罗姆·鲍威尔( Jerome Powell )从美联储董事

81%

12月31日

$84.6k 交易量

$12.4k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )被确认为美联储主席...... ?
美联储政治

凯文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )被确认为美联储主席...... ?

74%

5月15日

$216k 交易量

$8.5k Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

特朗普在2月28日之前放弃鲍威尔的调查?
美联储特朗普

特朗普在2月28日之前放弃鲍威尔的调查?

17%

$79.6k 交易量

$4.2k Liq.

3

美联储在2027年之前降息?
美联储商业

美联储在2027年之前降息?

21%

$23.5k 交易量

$15.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

美联储决定( 3-6月)

美联储决定( 3-6月)

36%

暂停–暂停–降息

$10.0k 交易量

$127k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 美联储.

Polymarket currently hosts 34 active markets for 美联储 that lets you track or trade on predictions like "特朗普将提名谁担任美联储主席?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $580.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "特朗普在2月28日之前放弃鲍威尔的调查?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "特朗普将提名谁担任美联储主席?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "特朗普将提名谁担任美联储主席?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to 凯文·沃什. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 美联储 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.