Fed Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Fed decision in January?

Fed

Fed decision in January?

$466m 交易量

$13m today

$19m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 4 days

99%

No change

$466m 交易量

$13m today

$19m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 4 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Fed

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$248m 交易量

$5m today

$7m Liq.

674

Ends in 11 months

56%

Rick Rieder

$248m 交易量

$5m today

$7m Liq.

674

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in March?

Fed

Fed decision in March?

$4m 交易量

$432k today

$649k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

80%

No change

$4m 交易量

$432k today

$649k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$3m 交易量

$60.3k today

$898k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

26%

3 (75 bps)

$3m 交易量

$60.3k today

$898k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$506k 交易量

$58.0k today

$110k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

66%

June Meeting

$506k 交易量

$58.0k today

$110k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Fed

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$648k 交易量

$145k Liq.

26

Ends in 4 months

8%

May 14

$648k 交易量

$145k Liq.

26

Ends in 4 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed

Fed decision in April?

$778k 交易量

$348k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

72%

No change

$778k 交易量

$348k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Fed

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

$356k 交易量

$41.9k Liq.

13

Ends in 7 days

99%

June 30, 2026

$356k 交易量

$41.9k Liq.

13

Ends in 7 days

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

Fed

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

$365k 交易量

$34.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 7 days

53%

No announcement by Jan 31

$365k 交易量

$34.2k Liq.

4

Ends in 7 days

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

$501k 交易量

$146k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

82%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$501k 交易量

$146k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Fed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$72.9k 交易量

$182k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

28%

3.0%

$72.9k 交易量

$182k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Fed

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$482k 交易量

$170k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

93%

↓ 3.25%

$482k 交易量

$170k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

$982k 交易量

$123k Liq.

15

Ends in 7 days

99%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$982k 交易量

$123k Liq.

15

Ends in 7 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Fed

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$23.7k 交易量

$7.9k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

49%

1

$23.7k 交易量

$7.9k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

Fed

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

$3.6k 交易量

$4.9k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

68%

$3.6k 交易量

$4.9k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Fed

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

$103k 交易量

$30.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

1%

$103k 交易量

$30.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Fed

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

$59.6k 交易量

$16.6k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

34%

4.4%

$59.6k 交易量

$16.6k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Fed

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

$28.5k 交易量

$2.8k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

20%

US Strikes Iran

$28.5k 交易量

$2.8k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$23.0k 交易量

$29.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

10%

$23.0k 交易量

$29.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Fed

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

$20.5k 交易量

$3.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

34%

$20.5k 交易量

$3.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

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