Rising inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and a resilient U.S. labor market have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts. The target range remains 3.50%-3.75% after the April FOMC meeting, with minutes noting that persistent above-target inflation could warrant policy firming. Market-implied paths through SOFR futures and prediction platforms now embed higher odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end 2026 or into 2027. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, accompanied by updated economic projections and the dot plot, plus the June 10 CPI release and employment data, represent the next key catalysts that could alter the rate path priced by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$153,812 交易量
2026-12-09
六月会议
1%
7月会议
6%
9月会议
19%
十月会议
22%
$153,812 交易量
六月会议
$15,781 交易量
1%
7月会议
$1,768 交易量
6%
9月会议
$2,410 交易量
19%
十月会议
$2,545 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and a resilient U.S. labor market have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts. The target range remains 3.50%-3.75% after the April FOMC meeting, with minutes noting that persistent above-target inflation could warrant policy firming. Market-implied paths through SOFR futures and prediction platforms now embed higher odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end 2026 or into 2027. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, accompanied by updated economic projections and the dot plot, plus the June 10 CPI release and employment data, represent the next key catalysts that could alter the rate path priced by traders.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$153,812结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and a resilient U.S. labor market have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts. The target range remains 3.50%-3.75% after the April FOMC meeting, with minutes noting that persistent above-target inflation could warrant policy firming. Market-implied paths through SOFR futures and prediction platforms now embed higher odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end 2026 or into 2027. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, accompanied by updated economic projections and the dot plot, plus the June 10 CPI release and employment data, represent the next key catalysts that could alter the rate path priced by traders.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$153,812结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and a resilient U.S. labor market have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes rather than cuts. The target range remains 3.50%-3.75% after the April FOMC meeting, with minutes noting that persistent above-target inflation could warrant policy firming. Market-implied paths through SOFR futures and prediction platforms now embed higher odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase before year-end 2026 or into 2027. The June 16-17 FOMC meeting, accompanied by updated economic projections and the dot plot, plus the June 10 CPI release and employment data, represent the next key catalysts that could alter the rate path priced by traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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