Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data showing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and driven by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, has shifted trader sentiment toward a potential Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, with the next decision due June 16-17. Market-implied probabilities now price in roughly even odds for a 25 basis point increase by early 2027, reflecting concerns that persistent above-target inflation may require policy firming rather than the previously anticipated cuts. The May CPI release on June 10 and incoming labor market data will be key near-term catalysts influencing these expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$154,138 交易量
2026-12-09
六月会议
1%
7月会议
6%
9月会议
12%
十月会议
25%
$154,138 交易量
六月会议
$15,781 交易量
1%
7月会议
$1,768 交易量
6%
9月会议
$2,737 交易量
12%
十月会议
$2,545 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data showing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and driven by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, has shifted trader sentiment toward a potential Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, with the next decision due June 16-17. Market-implied probabilities now price in roughly even odds for a 25 basis point increase by early 2027, reflecting concerns that persistent above-target inflation may require policy firming rather than the previously anticipated cuts. The May CPI release on June 10 and incoming labor market data will be key near-term catalysts influencing these expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$154,138结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data showing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and driven by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, has shifted trader sentiment toward a potential Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, with the next decision due June 16-17. Market-implied probabilities now price in roughly even odds for a 25 basis point increase by early 2027, reflecting concerns that persistent above-target inflation may require policy firming rather than the previously anticipated cuts. The May CPI release on June 10 and incoming labor market data will be key near-term catalysts influencing these expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$154,138结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data showing 3.8% year-over-year inflation, up from 3.3% in March and driven by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions, has shifted trader sentiment toward a potential Fed rate hike. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April meeting, with the next decision due June 16-17. Market-implied probabilities now price in roughly even odds for a 25 basis point increase by early 2027, reflecting concerns that persistent above-target inflation may require policy firming rather than the previously anticipated cuts. The May CPI release on June 10 and incoming labor market data will be key near-term catalysts influencing these expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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