Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$145,049 交易量
2026-12-09
六月会议
1%
7月会议
6%
9月会议
16%
十月会议
15%
$145,049 交易量
六月会议
$12,497 交易量
1%
7月会议
$755 交易量
6%
9月会议
$49 交易量
16%
十月会议
$440 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$145,049结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$145,049结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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