The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$144,574 交易量
2026-12-09
六月会议
1%
7月会议
6%
9月会议
17%
十月会议
16%
$144,574 交易量
六月会议
$12,069 交易量
1%
7月会议
$755 交易量
6%
9月会议
$49 交易量
17%
十月会议
$392 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$144,574结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$144,574结束日期
2026-10-29市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds target range steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting for the third consecutive time, citing balanced risks amid persistent inflation and resilient labor conditions. March 2026 CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while unemployment held at 4.3% and the week-ending May 2 initial jobless claims came in low at 200,000, signaling no urgent need for tightening. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% odds of no change at the June 16-17 meeting, reflecting trader consensus for steady policy over hikes. Polymarket sentiment aligns with low rate-hike probabilities through 2026, driven by sticky core inflation dynamics. Key catalysts include April CPI on May 12 and May nonfarm payrolls.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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