Trader sentiment on Jerome Powell's potential exit from the Federal Reserve Board hinges on escalating political tensions following President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, with Trump repeatedly signaling expectations for Powell's resignation upon his January 20, 2025 inauguration to realign monetary policy. Powell countered on November 14, 2025, reaffirming his intent to serve his full Chair term through May 2026 and Board term to January 2028, underscoring Fed independence amid market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty. Recent FOMC minutes highlighted steady policy amid cooling inflation (November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year), but trader consensus prices in risks from Trump's potential Treasury Secretary pick and congressional pressure. Key catalysts include the January 29 FOMC meeting and early administration signals on Fed reform.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$116,134 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
5月30日
32%
12月31日
68%
$116,134 交易量
5月30日
$64,866 交易量
32%
12月31日
$51,268 交易量
68%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader sentiment on Jerome Powell's potential exit from the Federal Reserve Board hinges on escalating political tensions following President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, with Trump repeatedly signaling expectations for Powell's resignation upon his January 20, 2025 inauguration to realign monetary policy. Powell countered on November 14, 2025, reaffirming his intent to serve his full Chair term through May 2026 and Board term to January 2028, underscoring Fed independence amid market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty. Recent FOMC minutes highlighted steady policy amid cooling inflation (November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year), but trader consensus prices in risks from Trump's potential Treasury Secretary pick and congressional pressure. Key catalysts include the January 29 FOMC meeting and early administration signals on Fed reform.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$116,134结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader sentiment on Jerome Powell's potential exit from the Federal Reserve Board hinges on escalating political tensions following President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, with Trump repeatedly signaling expectations for Powell's resignation upon his January 20, 2025 inauguration to realign monetary policy. Powell countered on November 14, 2025, reaffirming his intent to serve his full Chair term through May 2026 and Board term to January 2028, underscoring Fed independence amid market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty. Recent FOMC minutes highlighted steady policy amid cooling inflation (November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year), but trader consensus prices in risks from Trump's potential Treasury Secretary pick and congressional pressure. Key catalysts include the January 29 FOMC meeting and early administration signals on Fed reform.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$116,134结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Jerome Powell's potential exit from the Federal Reserve Board hinges on escalating political tensions following President-elect Trump's November 2024 victory, with Trump repeatedly signaling expectations for Powell's resignation upon his January 20, 2025 inauguration to realign monetary policy. Powell countered on November 14, 2025, reaffirming his intent to serve his full Chair term through May 2026 and Board term to January 2028, underscoring Fed independence amid market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty. Recent FOMC minutes highlighted steady policy amid cooling inflation (November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year), but trader consensus prices in risks from Trump's potential Treasury Secretary pick and congressional pressure. Key catalysts include the January 29 FOMC meeting and early administration signals on Fed reform.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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