Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's March 18, 2026 post-FOMC remarks have solidified trader sentiment against an imminent exit from the Fed Board of Governors, as he affirmed plans to remain until successor Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and amid an ongoing DOJ investigation into unsubstantiated corruption claims. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his governor seat runs through January 31, 2028, invoking Fed independence traditions rarely breached in 70 years. Polymarket odds capture this resolve, pricing low near-term departure risk despite President Trump's push for hawkish policy shifts. Key catalysts ahead include Warsh's confirmation timeline and April 29–30 FOMC meeting, where leadership uncertainty could sway rate cut expectations amid steady 5.25–5.50% fed funds range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$116,630 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
5月30日
29%
12月31日
71%
$116,630 交易量
5月30日
$65,248 交易量
29%
12月31日
$51,382 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's March 18, 2026 post-FOMC remarks have solidified trader sentiment against an imminent exit from the Fed Board of Governors, as he affirmed plans to remain until successor Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and amid an ongoing DOJ investigation into unsubstantiated corruption claims. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his governor seat runs through January 31, 2028, invoking Fed independence traditions rarely breached in 70 years. Polymarket odds capture this resolve, pricing low near-term departure risk despite President Trump's push for hawkish policy shifts. Key catalysts ahead include Warsh's confirmation timeline and April 29–30 FOMC meeting, where leadership uncertainty could sway rate cut expectations amid steady 5.25–5.50% fed funds range.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$116,630结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's March 18, 2026 post-FOMC remarks have solidified trader sentiment against an imminent exit from the Fed Board of Governors, as he affirmed plans to remain until successor Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and amid an ongoing DOJ investigation into unsubstantiated corruption claims. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his governor seat runs through January 31, 2028, invoking Fed independence traditions rarely breached in 70 years. Polymarket odds capture this resolve, pricing low near-term departure risk despite President Trump's push for hawkish policy shifts. Key catalysts ahead include Warsh's confirmation timeline and April 29–30 FOMC meeting, where leadership uncertainty could sway rate cut expectations amid steady 5.25–5.50% fed funds range.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$116,630结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's March 18, 2026 post-FOMC remarks have solidified trader sentiment against an imminent exit from the Fed Board of Governors, as he affirmed plans to remain until successor Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation and amid an ongoing DOJ investigation into unsubstantiated corruption claims. Powell's chair term expires May 15, 2026, but his governor seat runs through January 31, 2028, invoking Fed independence traditions rarely breached in 70 years. Polymarket odds capture this resolve, pricing low near-term departure risk despite President Trump's push for hawkish policy shifts. Key catalysts ahead include Warsh's confirmation timeline and April 29–30 FOMC meeting, where leadership uncertainty could sway rate cut expectations amid steady 5.25–5.50% fed funds range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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