Market-implied odds heavily favor a Pause–Pause–Pause path for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings at 93 percent, reflecting recent analyst revisions and central-bank signals. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs have shifted toward no cuts through year-end, citing elevated inflation driven by energy-price increases from Middle East developments and a resilient labor market that shows limited cooling. March 2026 FOMC projections already pointed to just one 25-basis-point reduction for the full year, with upside risks to inflation noted by most participants. This consensus aligns with the current federal-funds-rate range of 3.5–3.75 percent and expectations that policy will remain on hold absent clear disinflation progress. A sharp labor-market deterioration or faster-than-expected decline in core PCE inflation could still reopen the door to earlier easing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 4.5%
Other 3.3%
Pause–Cut–Cut 1.8%
$49,086 交易量
$49,086 交易量
2026-07-29
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
5%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
2%
Other
3%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 4.5%
Other 3.3%
Pause–Cut–Cut 1.8%
$49,086 交易量
$49,086 交易量
2026-07-29
Pause–Pause–Pause
$2,608 交易量
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$1,665 交易量
5%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$1,568 交易量
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,664 交易量
2%
Other
$1,595 交易量
3%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds heavily favor a Pause–Pause–Pause path for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings at 93 percent, reflecting recent analyst revisions and central-bank signals. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs have shifted toward no cuts through year-end, citing elevated inflation driven by energy-price increases from Middle East developments and a resilient labor market that shows limited cooling. March 2026 FOMC projections already pointed to just one 25-basis-point reduction for the full year, with upside risks to inflation noted by most participants. This consensus aligns with the current federal-funds-rate range of 3.5–3.75 percent and expectations that policy will remain on hold absent clear disinflation progress. A sharp labor-market deterioration or faster-than-expected decline in core PCE inflation could still reopen the door to earlier easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$49,086结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmMarket-implied odds heavily favor a Pause–Pause–Pause path for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings at 93 percent, reflecting recent analyst revisions and central-bank signals. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs have shifted toward no cuts through year-end, citing elevated inflation driven by energy-price increases from Middle East developments and a resilient labor market that shows limited cooling. March 2026 FOMC projections already pointed to just one 25-basis-point reduction for the full year, with upside risks to inflation noted by most participants. This consensus aligns with the current federal-funds-rate range of 3.5–3.75 percent and expectations that policy will remain on hold absent clear disinflation progress. A sharp labor-market deterioration or faster-than-expected decline in core PCE inflation could still reopen the door to earlier easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
交易量
$49,086结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a Pause–Pause–Pause path for the April, June, and July 2026 FOMC meetings at 93 percent, reflecting recent analyst revisions and central-bank signals. Brokerage forecasts from BofA and Goldman Sachs have shifted toward no cuts through year-end, citing elevated inflation driven by energy-price increases from Middle East developments and a resilient labor market that shows limited cooling. March 2026 FOMC projections already pointed to just one 25-basis-point reduction for the full year, with upside risks to inflation noted by most participants. This consensus aligns with the current federal-funds-rate range of 3.5–3.75 percent and expectations that policy will remain on hold absent clear disinflation progress. A sharp labor-market deterioration or faster-than-expected decline in core PCE inflation could still reopen the door to earlier easing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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