Market icon

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Cut 44%

Pause–Pause–Pause 31%

Pause–Cut–Pause 13%

Other 10%

NEW

规则

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.

A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.

If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".

Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
交易量
$518
结束日期
Jun 17, 2026
创建于
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

注意外部链接。

Market icon

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Cut 44%

Pause–Pause–Pause 31%

Pause–Cut–Pause 13%

Other 10%

NEW

Pause–Pause–Cut

$203 交易量

44%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$53 交易量

31%

Pause–Cut–Pause

$12 交易量

13%

Other

$23 交易量

10%

Pause–Cut–Cut

$9 交易量

7%

Cut–Cut–Cut

$34 交易量

5%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$132 交易量

14%

Cut–Pause–Cut

$42 交易量

3%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$9 交易量

2%

关于

交易量
$518
结束日期
Jun 17, 2026
创建于
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

注意外部链接。