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失业 预测与赔率

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

32%

5.0%

$424K 交易量

$15.6K Liq.

14

Ends 7 个月内

May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

36%

4.3%

$6.0K 交易量

$41.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

7%

$6.5K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

53%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.7K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026

JOLTS Job Openings — April 2026

23%

6.7M–6.8M

$4.0K 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 小时前

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.3K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

79%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

39%

↓ 70

$71.4K 交易量

$71.4K today

$297K Liq.

Ends 29 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

49%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

130

Ends 7 个月内

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

38%

Keith Sonderling

$45.2K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

1

Ends 7 个月内

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in June 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in June 2026?

70%

↓ $3.00

$24.8K 交易量

$59.3K Liq.

1

Ends 29 天内

What price will Solana hit June 1-7?

What price will Solana hit June 1-7?

9%

↓ 70

$4.7K 交易量

$81.1K Liq.

Ends 6 天内

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$438 Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$775K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

14

Ends 5 个月前

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 2?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 2?

100%

$735

$14.5K 交易量

$64.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 10 小时内

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

61%

↓ 60

$805K 交易量

$294K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

What price will Bitcoin hit in June?

100%

↓ 70,000

$1M 交易量

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends 29 天内

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

77%

↑ $232

$32.7K 交易量

$62.3K Liq.

Ends 29 天内

What price will Chainlink hit in June?

What price will Chainlink hit in June?

50%

↑ 12

$198 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

Ends 29 天内

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

10%

June 30

$165K 交易量

$251 Liq.

10

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 失业 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 103 个活跃的 失业 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"How high will US unemployment go in 2026?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $6.5M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH airdrop by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH airdrop by...?",市场目前认为 December 31, 2026 的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 失业 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。