President-elect Trump's election victory and past criticisms of Jerome Powell have intensified speculation about the Fed Chair's tenure, which extends until May 2026, amid questions over Federal Reserve independence. Removal requires "for cause" under statute, a high bar historically unmet, as Powell recently reaffirmed in speeches emphasizing the Fed's apolitical mandate. Traders weigh Trump's potential executive actions, like demoting Powell or nominating a replacement such as Kevin Warsh for Senate confirmation, against legal hurdles and market backlash risks. Key upcoming catalysts include Trump transition announcements, January 2025 inauguration, and the Fed's December FOMC meeting, where policy signals could influence replacement timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于杰罗姆·鲍威尔（ Jerome Powell ）担任美联储主席
杰罗姆·鲍威尔（ Jerome Powell ）担任美联储主席
$1,757,212 交易量
May 14, 2026
3月31日
<1%
5月14日
2%
$1,757,212 交易量
3月31日
$929,994 交易量
<1%
5月14日
$827,218 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$1,757,212结束日期
May 14, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,757,212结束日期
May 14, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's election victory and past criticisms of Jerome Powell have intensified speculation about the Fed Chair's tenure, which extends until May 2026, amid questions over Federal Reserve independence. Removal requires "for cause" under statute, a high bar historically unmet, as Powell recently reaffirmed in speeches emphasizing the Fed's apolitical mandate. Traders weigh Trump's potential executive actions, like demoting Powell or nominating a replacement such as Kevin Warsh for Senate confirmation, against legal hurdles and market backlash risks. Key upcoming catalysts include Trump transition announcements, January 2025 inauguration, and the Fed's December FOMC meeting, where policy signals could influence replacement timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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