Jerome Powell predictions & odds

·
Fed decision in January?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in January?

99%

No change

$466m 交易量

$13m today

$19m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 4 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

56%

Rick Rieder

$248m 交易量

$5m today

$7m Liq.

674

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in March?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in March?

80%

No change

$4m 交易量

$432k today

$649k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

26%

3 (75 bps)

$3m 交易量

$60.3k today

$898k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

66%

June Meeting

$506k 交易量

$58.0k today

$110k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

8%

May 14

$648k 交易量

$145k Liq.

26

Ends in 4 months

Fed decision in April?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in April?

72%

No change

$778k 交易量

$348k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

28%

3.0%

$72.9k 交易量

$182k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

93%

↓ 3.25%

$482k 交易量

$170k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Jerome Powell

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

49%

1

$23.7k 交易量

$7.9k Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

1%

$103k 交易量

$30.1k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

34%

4.4%

$59.6k 交易量

$16.6k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

10%

$23.0k 交易量

$29.1k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Jerome Powell

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

34%

$20.5k 交易量

$3.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 7 days

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

70%

December 31

$67.9k 交易量

$9.9k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Fed Decision in June?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision in June?

49%

25 bps decrease

$5.9k 交易量

$154k Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

2%

January 31

$26.0k 交易量

$3.2k Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

$125k 交易量

$20.7k Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Jerome Powell

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

94%

$4.5k 交易量

$2.6k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision & Dissent Combo in January?

54%

No change, Dissents: <2

$17.1k 交易量

$24.7k Liq.

Ends in 4 days