自然灾害 预测与赔率

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 自然灾害.

Polymarket currently hosts 11 active markets for 自然灾害 that lets you track or trade on predictions like "2月9日至2月15日发生了多少次6.5级或以上的地震？". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "4级飓风会在2027年之前登陆美国吗？". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "到6月30日， 7.0级或以上的地震有多少次？," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "到6月30日， 7.0级或以上的地震有多少次？," where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to 分组项标题：8+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 自然灾害 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket's accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for 自然灾害 shift in real-time. It's a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like "到6月30日， 7.0级或以上的地震有多少次？" without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the 自然灾害 prediction markets, and when you're ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the "Rules" section on any individual market page like "2月9日至2月15日发生了多少次6.5级或以上的地震？," to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.