Climate predictions & odds

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Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate

Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

37%

$216k 交易量

$2.7k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate

Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

47%

$87.3k 交易量

$14.7k Liq.

5

Ends in 11 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Climate

Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

44%

$141k 交易量

$4.1k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate

Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$14.6k 交易量

$20.8k Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 year

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Climate

Weather

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

20%

14.4-14.6m sq km

$2.0k 交易量

$7.0k Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Climate

Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$2.2k 交易量

$5.4k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Climate

Weather

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

37%

4.6-4.8m sq km

$615 交易量

$8.2k Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months