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icon for 特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?

特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?

icon for 特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?

特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?

$15,268 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$15,268 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$8,144 交易量

5%

12月31日

$7,124 交易量

19%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s renewed threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires May 15 have intensified market focus on central bank independence and the path of monetary policy. Powell has committed to staying on as a governor through at least January 2028 to complete a transition and counter administration pressure, including a Department of Justice probe into headquarters renovations that Powell has labeled a pretext for demanding lower interest rates. Traders weigh the legal barriers—Fed governors may be removed only for cause—against Trump’s leverage through appointments and investigations, with any successful ouster likely to shift rate expectations and Treasury yields amid ongoing inflation and labor-market data releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,268
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s renewed threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires May 15 have intensified market focus on central bank independence and the path of monetary policy. Powell has committed to staying on as a governor through at least January 2028 to complete a transition and counter administration pressure, including a Department of Justice probe into headquarters renovations that Powell has labeled a pretext for demanding lower interest rates. Traders weigh the legal barriers—Fed governors may be removed only for cause—against Trump’s leverage through appointments and investigations, with any successful ouster likely to shift rate expectations and Treasury yields amid ongoing inflation and labor-market data releases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,268
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"12月31日",概率为 19%,其次是"June 30",概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 19¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?"已产生 $15.3K 的总交易量(自Apr 16, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?"的当前领先者是"12月31日",概率为 19%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 19%。紧随其后的结果是"June 30",概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。