President Donald Trump’s renewed threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires May 15 have intensified market focus on central bank independence and the path of monetary policy. Powell has committed to staying on as a governor through at least January 2028 to complete a transition and counter administration pressure, including a Department of Justice probe into headquarters renovations that Powell has labeled a pretext for demanding lower interest rates. Traders weigh the legal barriers—Fed governors may be removed only for cause—against Trump’s leverage through appointments and investigations, with any successful ouster likely to shift rate expectations and Treasury yields amid ongoing inflation and labor-market data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于特朗普是否会试图在...之前解雇鲍威尔担任美联储董事会成员?
$15,268 交易量
June 30
5%
12月31日
19%
$15,268 交易量
June 30
5%
12月31日
19%
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s renewed threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if he remains after his chair term expires May 15 have intensified market focus on central bank independence and the path of monetary policy. Powell has committed to staying on as a governor through at least January 2028 to complete a transition and counter administration pressure, including a Department of Justice probe into headquarters renovations that Powell has labeled a pretext for demanding lower interest rates. Traders weigh the legal barriers—Fed governors may be removed only for cause—against Trump’s leverage through appointments and investigations, with any successful ouster likely to shift rate expectations and Treasury yields amid ongoing inflation and labor-market data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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