Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 320-359 tweets during March 24-31, 2026, with 11.5% implied odds each for those ranges, signaling expectations of his characteristically high-volume X activity amid potential Tesla launches, SpaceX milestones, or political commentary. This tight clustering reflects historical patterns where Musk averages 40-60 posts daily—spiking over 100 during controversies like recent election cycles—yielding weekly totals often exceeding 300, per tracking sites like ElonTracker. Lower odds for extremes (<220 or >460) underscore traders' caution against unpredictability from global events or platform algorithm shifts, positioning mid-300s as the sweet spot balancing his meme-lord consistency and cultural dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 10%
280-299 9%
$601,713 交易量
$601,713 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
8%
260-279
7%
280-299
9%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
10%
380-399
9%
400-419
6%
420-439
5%
440-459
4%
460-479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
320-339 12%
340-359 12%
360-379 10%
280-299 9%
$601,713 交易量
$601,713 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
8%
260-279
7%
280-299
9%
300-319
9%
320-339
12%
340-359
12%
360-379
10%
380-399
9%
400-419
6%
420-439
5%
440-459
4%
460-479
3%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 320-359 tweets during March 24-31, 2026, with 11.5% implied odds each for those ranges, signaling expectations of his characteristically high-volume X activity amid potential Tesla launches, SpaceX milestones, or political commentary. This tight clustering reflects historical patterns where Musk averages 40-60 posts daily—spiking over 100 during controversies like recent election cycles—yielding weekly totals often exceeding 300, per tracking sites like ElonTracker. Lower odds for extremes (<220 or >460) underscore traders' caution against unpredictability from global events or platform algorithm shifts, positioning mid-300s as the sweet spot balancing his meme-lord consistency and cultural dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题