Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 tweet count market reflects a tight cluster around 1160-1279 posts, led by the 1240-1279 bin at 16.6% implied probability, driven by his steady mid-30s to low-40s daily posting pace through April 14—evidenced by roughly 275-299 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts from April 7-14 alone. This skin-in-the-game sentiment extrapolates consistent X engagement amid Musk's viral commentary on politics, AI, and SpaceX, with no major disruptions noted in the past week. Competitive dynamics hinge on the remaining 16 days, where catalysts like potential America Party announcements or Tesla updates could spike volume above 40/day, while quieter periods might pull toward lower bins; historical patterns show his cultural force sustains high output absent burnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1240-1279 16.6%
1160-1199 11.5%
1200-1239 11.5%
1120-1159 10.4%
$7,526,188 交易量
$7,526,188 交易量
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
<1%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
10%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
12%
1240-1279
17%
1280-1319
10%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
5%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
3%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1240-1279 16.6%
1160-1199 11.5%
1200-1239 11.5%
1120-1159 10.4%
$7,526,188 交易量
$7,526,188 交易量
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
<1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
<1%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
1%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
10%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
12%
1240-1279
17%
1280-1319
10%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
5%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
3%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 tweet count market reflects a tight cluster around 1160-1279 posts, led by the 1240-1279 bin at 16.6% implied probability, driven by his steady mid-30s to low-40s daily posting pace through April 14—evidenced by roughly 275-299 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts from April 7-14 alone. This skin-in-the-game sentiment extrapolates consistent X engagement amid Musk's viral commentary on politics, AI, and SpaceX, with no major disruptions noted in the past week. Competitive dynamics hinge on the remaining 16 days, where catalysts like potential America Party announcements or Tesla updates could spike volume above 40/day, while quieter periods might pull toward lower bins; historical patterns show his cultural force sustains high output absent burnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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