Trader consensus on Polymarket spreads Elon Musk's projected April 2026 X post volume evenly across 1200-1500 bins at 7-9% each, mirroring his March 2026 pace of 35-45 daily tweets amid Tesla Cybercab updates, xAI buzz, and political discourse that sustain high engagement without extreme spikes. Closely matched frontrunners reflect daily fluctuations—peaking near 60 during viral threads but dipping to 25 on lulls—creating uncertainty in exact totals for the 30-day month, with no dominant catalyst yet. Key differentiators include potential April escalators like Q1 earnings reveals or SpaceX milestones, which could push toward 1400+ per historical patterns, while quieter periods favor lower bins; traders weigh this variability against consistent 1300-1400 monthly precedents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1400-1439 9.3%
1320-1359 9.2%
1360-1399 9.1%
1200-1239 9.0%
$4,363,612 交易量
$4,363,612 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
2%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
9%
1240-1279
8%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
9%
1360-1399
9%
1400-1439
9%
1440-1479
8%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
3%
1680-1759
2%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
3%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
2%
1400-1439 9.3%
1320-1359 9.2%
1360-1399 9.1%
1200-1239 9.0%
$4,363,612 交易量
$4,363,612 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
2%
840-879
<1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
1%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
2%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
9%
1240-1279
8%
1280-1319
8%
1320-1359
9%
1360-1399
9%
1400-1439
9%
1440-1479
8%
1480-1519
7%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
3%
1680-1759
2%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
3%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket spreads Elon Musk's projected April 2026 X post volume evenly across 1200-1500 bins at 7-9% each, mirroring his March 2026 pace of 35-45 daily tweets amid Tesla Cybercab updates, xAI buzz, and political discourse that sustain high engagement without extreme spikes. Closely matched frontrunners reflect daily fluctuations—peaking near 60 during viral threads but dipping to 25 on lulls—creating uncertainty in exact totals for the 30-day month, with no dominant catalyst yet. Key differentiators include potential April escalators like Q1 earnings reveals or SpaceX milestones, which could push toward 1400+ per historical patterns, while quieter periods favor lower bins; traders weigh this variability against consistent 1300-1400 monthly precedents.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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