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2026年12月31日最富有的人？

Market icon

2026年12月31日最富有的人？

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

埃隆·马斯克 90%

黄仁勋 2.0%

沃伦·巴菲特 1.4%

杰夫·贝索斯 1.3%

Polymarket

$674,139 交易量

埃隆·马斯克 90%

黄仁勋 2.0%

沃伦·巴菲特 1.4%

杰夫·贝索斯 1.3%

Polymarket

$674,139 交易量

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埃隆·马斯克

$103,486 交易量

90%

Market icon

黄仁勋

$66,175 交易量

2%

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沃伦·巴菲特

$29,445 交易量

1%

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杰夫·贝索斯

$0 交易量

1%

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拉里·佩奇

$0 交易量

1%

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史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$219,168 交易量

1%

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拉里·埃里森

$33,754 交易量

1%

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贝尔纳·阿尔诺

$222,112 交易量

1%

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马克·扎克伯格

$0 交易量

1%

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谢尔盖·布林

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk as the richest person by December 31, 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by Tesla's explosive post-election stock surge—up over 70% since November 2024 amid his alliance with President-elect Trump—pushing his net worth past $400 billion per Forbes real-time rankings. SpaceX's Starship milestones and xAI's $6 billion funding round further bolster his diversified empire's growth trajectory outpacing rivals. Jensen Huang trails at 2% on Nvidia's AI dominance, but volatility caps enthusiasm; legacy titans like Buffett (1.4%) and Bezos (1.3%) lag due to slower asset appreciation. Key catalysts ahead include Tesla's robotaxi rollout in 2025 and Nvidia's earnings beats, though Musk's cultural momentum and innovation edge sustain overwhelming frontrunner status.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk as the richest person by December 31, 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by Tesla's explosive post-election stock surge—up over 70% since November 2024 amid his alliance with President-elect Trump—pushing his net worth past $400 billion per Forbes real-time rankings. SpaceX's Starship milestones and xAI's $6 billion funding round further bolster his diversified empire's growth trajectory outpacing rivals. Jensen Huang trails at 2% on Nvidia's AI dominance, but volatility caps enthusiasm; legacy titans like Buffett (1.4%) and Bezos (1.3%) lag due to slower asset appreciation. Key catalysts ahead include Tesla's robotaxi rollout in 2025 and Nvidia's earnings beats, though Musk's cultural momentum and innovation edge sustain overwhelming frontrunner status.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk as the richest person by December 31, 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by Tesla's explosive post-election stock surge—up over 70% since November 2024 amid his alliance with President-elect Trump—pushing his net worth past $400 billion per Forbes real-time rankings. SpaceX's Starship milestones and xAI's $6 billion funding round further bolster his diversified empire's growth trajectory outpacing rivals. Jensen Huang trails at 2% on Nvidia's AI dominance, but volatility caps enthusiasm; legacy titans like Buffett (1.4%) and Bezos (1.3%) lag due to slower asset appreciation. Key catalysts ahead include Tesla's robotaxi rollout in 2025 and Nvidia's earnings beats, though Musk's cultural momentum and innovation edge sustain overwhelming frontrunner status.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk as the richest person by December 31, 2026, with an implied 89.5% probability driven by Tesla's explosive post-election stock surge—up over 70% since November 2024 amid his alliance with President-elect Trump—pushing his net worth past $400 billion per Forbes real-time rankings. SpaceX's Starship milestones and xAI's $6 billion funding round further bolster his diversified empire's growth trajectory outpacing rivals. Jensen Huang trails at 2% on Nvidia's AI dominance, but volatility caps enthusiasm; legacy titans like Buffett (1.4%) and Bezos (1.3%) lag due to slower asset appreciation. Key catalysts ahead include Tesla's robotaxi rollout in 2025 and Nvidia's earnings beats, though Musk's cultural momentum and innovation edge sustain overwhelming frontrunner status.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年12月31日最富有的人？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"埃隆·马斯克"，概率为 90%，其次是"黄仁勋"，概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 90¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 90%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年12月31日最富有的人？"已产生 $674.1K 的总交易量（自Nov 12, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年12月31日最富有的人？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年12月31日最富有的人？"的当前领先者是"埃隆·马斯克"，概率为 90%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 90%。紧随其后的结果是"黄仁勋"，概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年12月31日最富有的人？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。