Elon Musk's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability as the richest person by December 31, 2026, stems from his record $347 billion net worth—fueled by Tesla's 93% year-to-date stock surge following the U.S. election, SpaceX's $350 billion valuation, and xAI's rapid fundraising amid AI hype. Trader consensus reflects strong momentum in electric vehicles, autonomy, and space, positioning Musk to widen his lead over challengers. Jensen Huang trails at 2.1% on Nvidia's AI chip dominance, with recent quarterly beats bolstering his $118 billion fortune, though volatility caps upside. Legacy figures like Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos linger below 2% amid slower growth trajectories. Key watches: Tesla's robotaxi event in October 2025 and Nvidia earnings amid chip demand shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年12月31日最富有的人？
2026年12月31日最富有的人？
埃隆·马斯克 90%
黄仁勋 2.1%
沃伦·巴菲特 1.4%
杰夫·贝索斯 1.3%
$667,445 交易量
$667,445 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
埃隆·马斯克
90%
黄仁勋
2%
沃伦·巴菲特
1%
杰夫·贝索斯
1%
拉里·佩奇
1%
拉里·埃里森
1%
史蒂夫·鲍尔默
1%
贝尔纳·阿尔诺
1%
马克·扎克伯格
1%
谢尔盖·布林
<1%
埃隆·马斯克 90%
黄仁勋 2.1%
沃伦·巴菲特 1.4%
杰夫·贝索斯 1.3%
$667,445 交易量
$667,445 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
埃隆·马斯克
$103,486 交易量
90%
黄仁勋
$66,175 交易量
2%
沃伦·巴菲特
$22,847 交易量
1%
杰夫·贝索斯
$0 交易量
1%
拉里·佩奇
$0 交易量
1%
拉里·埃里森
$33,657 交易量
1%
史蒂夫·鲍尔默
$219,168 交易量
1%
贝尔纳·阿尔诺
$222,112 交易量
1%
马克·扎克伯格
$0 交易量
1%
谢尔盖·布林
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability as the richest person by December 31, 2026, stems from his record $347 billion net worth—fueled by Tesla's 93% year-to-date stock surge following the U.S. election, SpaceX's $350 billion valuation, and xAI's rapid fundraising amid AI hype. Trader consensus reflects strong momentum in electric vehicles, autonomy, and space, positioning Musk to widen his lead over challengers. Jensen Huang trails at 2.1% on Nvidia's AI chip dominance, with recent quarterly beats bolstering his $118 billion fortune, though volatility caps upside. Legacy figures like Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos linger below 2% amid slower growth trajectories. Key watches: Tesla's robotaxi event in October 2025 and Nvidia earnings amid chip demand shifts.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
交易量
$667,445结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability as the richest person by December 31, 2026, stems from his record $347 billion net worth—fueled by Tesla's 93% year-to-date stock surge following the U.S. election, SpaceX's $350 billion valuation, and xAI's rapid fundraising amid AI hype. Trader consensus reflects strong momentum in electric vehicles, autonomy, and space, positioning Musk to widen his lead over challengers. Jensen Huang trails at 2.1% on Nvidia's AI chip dominance, with recent quarterly beats bolstering his $118 billion fortune, though volatility caps upside. Legacy figures like Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos linger below 2% amid slower growth trajectories. Key watches: Tesla's robotaxi event in October 2025 and Nvidia earnings amid chip demand shifts.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$667,445结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elon Musk's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability as the richest person by December 31, 2026, stems from his record $347 billion net worth—fueled by Tesla's 93% year-to-date stock surge following the U.S. election, SpaceX's $350 billion valuation, and xAI's rapid fundraising amid AI hype. Trader consensus reflects strong momentum in electric vehicles, autonomy, and space, positioning Musk to widen his lead over challengers. Jensen Huang trails at 2.1% on Nvidia's AI chip dominance, with recent quarterly beats bolstering his $118 billion fortune, though volatility caps upside. Legacy figures like Warren Buffett and Jeff Bezos linger below 2% amid slower growth trajectories. Key watches: Tesla's robotaxi event in October 2025 and Nvidia earnings amid chip demand shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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