ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

65%

April 17

$40.1K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

51%

Anthropic

$335K 交易量

$96.6K Liq.

53

Ends 3 个月内

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

6%

$1.1K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天内

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

76%

$9.9K 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

44%

Anthropic

$24.3K 交易量

$21.6K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

26%

$5.0K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$216K 交易量

$21.9K Liq.

40

Ends 3 个月前

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

93%

June 30

$301K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

4

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

39%

60%+

$18.5K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

4

Ends 3 个月内

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

46%

50%+

$3.5K 交易量

$709 Liq.

1

Ends 3 个月内

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

87%

Drake releases Iceman

$20M 交易量

$2M Liq.

795

Ends 4 个月内

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

63%

Anthropic

$3M 交易量

$351K Liq.

65

Ends 3 个月内

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

51%

Anthropic

$926K 交易量

$166K Liq.

24

Ends 3 个月内

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$252K 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

31

Ends 3 个月前

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

51%

Omega

$0 交易量

$615 Liq.

Ends 大约 21 小时内

Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

56%

RUSTEC

$0 交易量

$559 Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti

Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungelliti

71%

Corentin Moutet

$997 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

Ends 8 天内

Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

Will GRVT launch a token by ___?

88%

December 31, 2026

$28.1K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

42%

$443K 交易量

$36.0K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage

60%

ASTRAL

$84.6K 交易量

$84.6K today

$134K Liq.

Ends 大约 3 小时内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Gpt 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 115 个活跃的 Gpt 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"ChatGPT Outage by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $25.5M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"What will happen before GTA VI?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"What will happen before GTA VI?",市场目前认为 Drake releases Iceman 的概率为 87%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Gpt 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。