Trader sentiment on Polymarket hinges on the remarkable staying power of leading artificial intelligence apps—ChatGPT, Claude, Google Gemini, and Grok—in the US Apple App Store's #1 free spot, amid fierce daily fluctuations driven by user adoption and viral backlash. Early March 2026's Pentagon contract controversy saw OpenAI's ChatGPT suffer a 295% uninstall surge and review bombing after accepting a military deal Anthropic's Claude rejected, propelling Claude to #1 with 81% download growth; however, ChatGPT swiftly reclaimed the lead via GPT-5.4's advanced reasoning and multimodal features. As of late March, ChatGPT tops charts, but non-AI challengers like MLB rise with baseball season, while upcoming AI model releases from Google or xAI could extend dominance or invite saturation fatigue.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
Apr 15, 2026
March 31
46%
April 7
44%
April 15
66%
$6 交易量
March 31
$2 交易量
46%
April 7
$4 交易量
44%
April 15
$0 交易量
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader sentiment on Polymarket hinges on the remarkable staying power of leading artificial intelligence apps—ChatGPT, Claude, Google Gemini, and Grok—in the US Apple App Store's #1 free spot, amid fierce daily fluctuations driven by user adoption and viral backlash. Early March 2026's Pentagon contract controversy saw OpenAI's ChatGPT suffer a 295% uninstall surge and review bombing after accepting a military deal Anthropic's Claude rejected, propelling Claude to #1 with 81% download growth; however, ChatGPT swiftly reclaimed the lead via GPT-5.4's advanced reasoning and multimodal features. As of late March, ChatGPT tops charts, but non-AI challengers like MLB rise with baseball season, while upcoming AI model releases from Google or xAI could extend dominance or invite saturation fatigue.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$6结束日期
Apr 15, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader sentiment on Polymarket hinges on the remarkable staying power of leading artificial intelligence apps—ChatGPT, Claude, Google Gemini, and Grok—in the US Apple App Store's #1 free spot, amid fierce daily fluctuations driven by user adoption and viral backlash. Early March 2026's Pentagon contract controversy saw OpenAI's ChatGPT suffer a 295% uninstall surge and review bombing after accepting a military deal Anthropic's Claude rejected, propelling Claude to #1 with 81% download growth; however, ChatGPT swiftly reclaimed the lead via GPT-5.4's advanced reasoning and multimodal features. As of late March, ChatGPT tops charts, but non-AI challengers like MLB rise with baseball season, while upcoming AI model releases from Google or xAI could extend dominance or invite saturation fatigue.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
If no listed AI app is the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$6结束日期
Apr 15, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket hinges on the remarkable staying power of leading artificial intelligence apps—ChatGPT, Claude, Google Gemini, and Grok—in the US Apple App Store's #1 free spot, amid fierce daily fluctuations driven by user adoption and viral backlash. Early March 2026's Pentagon contract controversy saw OpenAI's ChatGPT suffer a 295% uninstall surge and review bombing after accepting a military deal Anthropic's Claude rejected, propelling Claude to #1 with 81% download growth; however, ChatGPT swiftly reclaimed the lead via GPT-5.4's advanced reasoning and multimodal features. As of late March, ChatGPT tops charts, but non-AI challengers like MLB rise with baseball season, while upcoming AI model releases from Google or xAI could extend dominance or invite saturation fatigue.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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