Anthropic's April 7, 2026, announcement of Claude Mythos Preview as part of Project Glasswing has anchored trader consensus, revealing the frontier large language model's superior coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity capabilities—such as autonomously discovering zero-day vulnerabilities in Linux kernel, OpenBSD, and curl, plus handling 16-hour agentic tasks. Limited to vetted partners like AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft, and CrowdStrike for defensive software security, it underscores Anthropic's cautious approach amid AI safety concerns, differentiating from rivals like OpenAI's more open GPT releases. No full public rollout is planned, fueling low market-implied probabilities for broad availability soon; watch for updates on cyber safeguards via upcoming Claude Opus iterations, government collaborations, or open-source access expansions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$365,536 交易量
6月30日
8%
$365,536 交易量
6月30日
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases "Claude Mythos" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Mythos" (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's April 7, 2026, announcement of Claude Mythos Preview as part of Project Glasswing has anchored trader consensus, revealing the frontier large language model's superior coding, reasoning, and cybersecurity capabilities—such as autonomously discovering zero-day vulnerabilities in Linux kernel, OpenBSD, and curl, plus handling 16-hour agentic tasks. Limited to vetted partners like AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft, and CrowdStrike for defensive software security, it underscores Anthropic's cautious approach amid AI safety concerns, differentiating from rivals like OpenAI's more open GPT releases. No full public rollout is planned, fueling low market-implied probabilities for broad availability soon; watch for updates on cyber safeguards via upcoming Claude Opus iterations, government collaborations, or open-source access expansions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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