Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Mistral <1%
百度 <1%
$1,071,092 交易量
$1,071,092 交易量
2026-04-30
Anthropic
否
Mistral
否
是
百度
否
DeepSeek
否
OpenAI
否
阿里巴巴
否
字节跳动
否
Moonshot
否
亚马逊
否
Z.ai
否
Meta
否
微软
否
xAI
否
美团
否
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Mistral <1%
百度 <1%
$1,071,092 交易量
$1,071,092 交易量
2026-04-30
Anthropic
$335,802 交易量
否
Mistral
$15,246 交易量
否
$153,435 交易量
是
百度
$26,383 交易量
否
DeepSeek
$105,795 交易量
否
OpenAI
$94,622 交易量
否
阿里巴巴
$41,993 交易量
否
字节跳动
$29,772 交易量
否
Moonshot
$15,541 交易量
否
亚马逊
$32,628 交易量
否
Z.ai
$34,831 交易量
否
Meta
$39,567 交易量
否
微软
$22,189 交易量
否
xAI
$110,437 交易量
否
美团
$12,852 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,071,092结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$1,071,092结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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