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6月30日前，谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？

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科技·大型科技公司

6月30日前，谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？

$127,626 交易量

2026-02-28
Polymarket

$127,626 交易量

Polymarket

40%+

$30,401 交易量

94%

45%+

$48,262 交易量

28%

50%+

$18,709 交易量

33%

60%+

$30,255 交易量

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 47.6% overall, reflecting trader skepticism on rapid catch-up by June 30 amid fierce AI math benchmark competition. Gemini 3 Pro preview achieved 19% on the benchmark's hardest Tier 4—unpublished research-level problems—while Gemini 3.1 Pro recently verified solving a Ramsey hypergraph open problem alongside GPT-5.4 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6, showcasing advancing mathematical reasoning capabilities. February's Gemini 3 Deep Think upgrade boosted scientific benchmarks like 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam, but FrontierMath lags highlight scaling challenges. Watch for Google I/O announcements or interim releases, as model iterations could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$127,626
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google's Gemini models trail OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which leads the FrontierMath leaderboard at 47.6% overall, reflecting trader skepticism on rapid catch-up by June 30 amid fierce AI math benchmark competition. Gemini 3 Pro preview achieved 19% on the benchmark's hardest Tier 4—unpublished research-level problems—while Gemini 3.1 Pro recently verified solving a Ramsey hypergraph open problem alongside GPT-5.4 Pro and Claude Opus 4.6, showcasing advancing mathematical reasoning capabilities. February's Gemini 3 Deep Think upgrade boosted scientific benchmarks like 48.4% on Humanity's Last Exam, but FrontierMath lags highlight scaling challenges. Watch for Google I/O announcements or interim releases, as model iterations could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$127,626
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"6月30日前，谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40%+"，概率为 94%，其次是"50%+"，概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"6月30日前，谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？"已产生 $127.6K 的总交易量（自Feb 6, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"6月30日前，谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"6月30日前，谷歌Gemini在FrontierMath Benchmark上的得分？"的当前领先者是"40%+"，概率为 94%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"50%+"，概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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