Polymarket traders assign a 61% implied probability to SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely tracking the company's April 2026 confidential filing targeting $1.75 trillion and a record $75 billion raise, later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports. This trader consensus builds on a February xAI merger lifting valuation to $1.25 trillion from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer, fueled by Starlink's $4.4 billion 2025 operating income offsetting $20 billion-plus capex in AI and Starship development. May 6 Reuters filings underscore Musk's dual-class voting control amid investor calls for SEC scrutiny, with a June roadshow as the pivotal near-term catalyst potentially swaying final pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.75-2.00万亿 77%
2.00-2.25万亿 35%
1.25-1.50万亿 8.1%
2.25-2.50万亿 8.0%
$132,294 交易量
$132,294 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
3%
1.25-1.50万亿
10%
1.50-1.75万亿
22%
1.75-2.00万亿
62%
2.00-2.25万亿
35%
2.25-2.50万亿
6%
2.50万亿美元以上
8%
1.75-2.00万亿 77%
2.00-2.25万亿 35%
1.25-1.50万亿 8.1%
2.25-2.50万亿 8.0%
$132,294 交易量
$132,294 交易量
低于1.25万亿美元
$60,117 交易量
3%
1.25-1.50万亿
$16,013 交易量
10%
1.50-1.75万亿
$8,621 交易量
22%
1.75-2.00万亿
$12,889 交易量
62%
2.00-2.25万亿
$13,881 交易量
35%
2.25-2.50万亿
$10,024 交易量
6%
2.50万亿美元以上
$10,750 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign a 61% implied probability to SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely tracking the company's April 2026 confidential filing targeting $1.75 trillion and a record $75 billion raise, later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports. This trader consensus builds on a February xAI merger lifting valuation to $1.25 trillion from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer, fueled by Starlink's $4.4 billion 2025 operating income offsetting $20 billion-plus capex in AI and Starship development. May 6 Reuters filings underscore Musk's dual-class voting control amid investor calls for SEC scrutiny, with a June roadshow as the pivotal near-term catalyst potentially swaying final pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$132,294市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign a 61% implied probability to SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely tracking the company's April 2026 confidential filing targeting $1.75 trillion and a record $75 billion raise, later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports. This trader consensus builds on a February xAI merger lifting valuation to $1.25 trillion from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer, fueled by Starlink's $4.4 billion 2025 operating income offsetting $20 billion-plus capex in AI and Starship development. May 6 Reuters filings underscore Musk's dual-class voting control amid investor calls for SEC scrutiny, with a June roadshow as the pivotal near-term catalyst potentially swaying final pricing.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$132,294市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 61% implied probability to SpaceX's IPO valuation landing at $1.75-2.00 trillion, closely tracking the company's April 2026 confidential filing targeting $1.75 trillion and a record $75 billion raise, later boosted above $2 trillion per Bloomberg reports. This trader consensus builds on a February xAI merger lifting valuation to $1.25 trillion from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer, fueled by Starlink's $4.4 billion 2025 operating income offsetting $20 billion-plus capex in AI and Starship development. May 6 Reuters filings underscore Musk's dual-class voting control amid investor calls for SEC scrutiny, with a June roadshow as the pivotal near-term catalyst potentially swaying final pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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