SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus to a 93.3% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. Powered by Starlink's 8 million subscribers and robust revenue growth, this positions SpaceX far ahead in the race, contrasting with OpenAI's vaguer late-2026 ambitions amid internal friction—CEO Sam Altman's push clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on unsustainable compute spending and readiness. While SpaceX's path appears clear, regulatory hurdles or market volatility could delay it, or OpenAI might surprise with accelerated filings if leadership aligns. Traders await SpaceX's public prospectus in late May.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于SpaceX
$69,666 交易量
$69,666 交易量
2027-12-31
SpaceX
$69,666 交易量
$69,666 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus to a 93.3% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. Powered by Starlink's 8 million subscribers and robust revenue growth, this positions SpaceX far ahead in the race, contrasting with OpenAI's vaguer late-2026 ambitions amid internal friction—CEO Sam Altman's push clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on unsustainable compute spending and readiness. While SpaceX's path appears clear, regulatory hurdles or market volatility could delay it, or OpenAI might surprise with accelerated filings if leadership aligns. Traders await SpaceX's public prospectus in late May.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
交易量
$69,666结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus to a 93.3% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. Powered by Starlink's 8 million subscribers and robust revenue growth, this positions SpaceX far ahead in the race, contrasting with OpenAI's vaguer late-2026 ambitions amid internal friction—CEO Sam Altman's push clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on unsustainable compute spending and readiness. While SpaceX's path appears clear, regulatory hurdles or market volatility could delay it, or OpenAI might surprise with accelerated filings if leadership aligns. Traders await SpaceX's public prospectus in late May.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$69,666结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering on April 1, 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has driven trader consensus to a 93.3% implied probability that it will IPO before OpenAI. Powered by Starlink's 8 million subscribers and robust revenue growth, this positions SpaceX far ahead in the race, contrasting with OpenAI's vaguer late-2026 ambitions amid internal friction—CEO Sam Altman's push clashes with CFO Sarah Friar's warnings on unsustainable compute spending and readiness. While SpaceX's path appears clear, regulatory hurdles or market volatility could delay it, or OpenAI might surprise with accelerated filings if leadership aligns. Traders await SpaceX's public prospectus in late May.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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