Market icon

SpaceX将在哪个月首次公开募股?

Market icon

SpaceX将在哪个月首次公开募股?

六月 44%

十月 27.2%

5月 10.6%

7月 9.5%

Polymarket

$137,292 交易量

六月 44%

十月 27.2%

5月 10.6%

7月 9.5%

Polymarket

$137,292 交易量

三月

$42,707 交易量

<1%

四月

$18,515 交易量

1%

5月

$1,687 交易量

11%

六月

$62,652 交易量

44%

7月

$1,286 交易量

16%

八月

$1,222 交易量

9%

九月

$1,387 交易量

5%

十月

$1,489 交易量

27%

十一月

$1,040 交易量

2%

12月

$1,146 交易量

1%

2027年前无首次公开募股

$2,091 交易量

5%

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to confidentially file its S-1 IPO prospectus this week or next, elevating June's market-implied probability to 43.5% as traders anticipate the standard eight-week regulatory review leading to a mid-2026 listing. This aligns with January guidance targeting mid-June at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by the recent xAI merger valuing the entity at $1 trillion, Starlink's $16 billion annual revenue, and Starship milestones driving revenue growth. Upcoming catalysts include filing confirmation and late-May public prospectus, though SEC feedback or delays could shift sentiment toward July (16.3%) or October (27.1%).

Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to confidentially file its S-1 IPO prospectus this week or next, elevating June's market-implied probability to 43.5% as traders anticipate the standard eight-week regulatory review leading to a mid-2026 listing. This aligns with January guidance targeting mid-June at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by the recent xAI merger valuing the entity at $1 trillion, Starlink's $16 billion annual revenue, and Starship milestones driving revenue growth. Upcoming catalysts include filing confirmation and late-May public prospectus, though SEC feedback or delays could shift sentiment toward July (16.3%) or October (27.1%).

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to confidentially file its S-1 IPO prospectus this week or next, elevating June's market-implied probability to 43.5% as traders anticipate the standard eight-week regulatory review leading to a mid-2026 listing. This aligns with January guidance targeting mid-June at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by the recent xAI merger valuing the entity at $1 trillion, Starlink's $16 billion annual revenue, and Starship milestones driving revenue growth. Upcoming catalysts include filing confirmation and late-May public prospectus, though SEC feedback or delays could shift sentiment toward July (16.3%) or October (27.1%).

Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to confidentially file its S-1 IPO prospectus this week or next, elevating June's market-implied probability to 43.5% as traders anticipate the standard eight-week regulatory review leading to a mid-2026 listing. This aligns with January guidance targeting mid-June at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by the recent xAI merger valuing the entity at $1 trillion, Starlink's $16 billion annual revenue, and Starship milestones driving revenue growth. Upcoming catalysts include filing confirmation and late-May public prospectus, though SEC feedback or delays could shift sentiment toward July (16.3%) or October (27.1%).

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"SpaceX将在哪个月首次公开募股?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"六月",概率为 44%,其次是"十月",概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 44¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"SpaceX将在哪个月首次公开募股?"已产生 $137.3K 的总交易量(自Feb 9, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"SpaceX将在哪个月首次公开募股?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"SpaceX将在哪个月首次公开募股?"的当前领先者是"六月",概率为 44%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 44%。紧随其后的结果是"十月",概率为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"SpaceX将在哪个月首次公开募股?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。