Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to confidentially file its S-1 IPO prospectus this week or next, elevating June's market-implied probability to 43.5% as traders anticipate the standard eight-week regulatory review leading to a mid-2026 listing. This aligns with January guidance targeting mid-June at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by the recent xAI merger valuing the entity at $1 trillion, Starlink's $16 billion annual revenue, and Starship milestones driving revenue growth. Upcoming catalysts include filing confirmation and late-May public prospectus, though SEC feedback or delays could shift sentiment toward July (16.3%) or October (27.1%).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于六月 44%
十月 27.2%
5月 10.6%
7月 9.5%
$137,292 交易量
$137,292 交易量
三月
<1%
四月
1%
5月
11%
六月
44%
7月
16%
八月
9%
九月
5%
十月
27%
十一月
2%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
5%
六月 44%
十月 27.2%
5月 10.6%
7月 9.5%
$137,292 交易量
$137,292 交易量
三月
<1%
四月
1%
5月
11%
六月
44%
7月
16%
八月
9%
九月
5%
十月
27%
十一月
2%
12月
1%
2027年前无首次公开募股
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市场开放时间: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports from The Information indicate SpaceX aims to confidentially file its S-1 IPO prospectus this week or next, elevating June's market-implied probability to 43.5% as traders anticipate the standard eight-week regulatory review leading to a mid-2026 listing. This aligns with January guidance targeting mid-June at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, bolstered by the recent xAI merger valuing the entity at $1 trillion, Starlink's $16 billion annual revenue, and Starship milestones driving revenue growth. Upcoming catalysts include filing confirmation and late-May public prospectus, though SEC feedback or delays could shift sentiment toward July (16.3%) or October (27.1%).
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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