OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a possible September 2026 debut, drive the 75% market-implied probability it lists before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's push to go public ahead of its rival amid surging demand for its GPT large language models and ChatGPT platform, while Anthropic has held earlier 2026 discussions and banker talks focused on an October window but lacks comparable recent momentum. Both AI labs face typical execution risks such as regulatory reviews, market conditions, and internal governance shifts that could alter timelines, with OpenAI's public benefit corporation status and revenue growth providing a stronger near-term catalyst. Traders monitoring SEC filings and executive statements will watch for any last-minute delays in this competitive race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$63,357 交易量
$63,357 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$63,357 交易量
$63,357 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a possible September 2026 debut, drive the 75% market-implied probability it lists before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's push to go public ahead of its rival amid surging demand for its GPT large language models and ChatGPT platform, while Anthropic has held earlier 2026 discussions and banker talks focused on an October window but lacks comparable recent momentum. Both AI labs face typical execution risks such as regulatory reviews, market conditions, and internal governance shifts that could alter timelines, with OpenAI's public benefit corporation status and revenue growth providing a stronger near-term catalyst. Traders monitoring SEC filings and executive statements will watch for any last-minute delays in this competitive race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$63,357结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a possible September 2026 debut, drive the 75% market-implied probability it lists before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's push to go public ahead of its rival amid surging demand for its GPT large language models and ChatGPT platform, while Anthropic has held earlier 2026 discussions and banker talks focused on an October window but lacks comparable recent momentum. Both AI labs face typical execution risks such as regulatory reviews, market conditions, and internal governance shifts that could alter timelines, with OpenAI's public benefit corporation status and revenue growth providing a stronger near-term catalyst. Traders monitoring SEC filings and executive statements will watch for any last-minute delays in this competitive race.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$63,357结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential filing work with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley targeting a possible September 2026 debut, drive the 75% market-implied probability it lists before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's push to go public ahead of its rival amid surging demand for its GPT large language models and ChatGPT platform, while Anthropic has held earlier 2026 discussions and banker talks focused on an October window but lacks comparable recent momentum. Both AI labs face typical execution risks such as regulatory reviews, market conditions, and internal governance shifts that could alter timelines, with OpenAI's public benefit corporation status and revenue growth providing a stronger near-term catalyst. Traders monitoring SEC filings and executive statements will watch for any last-minute delays in this competitive race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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