OpenAI's accelerated preparations for a confidential IPO filing in the coming weeks, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a potential public debut as early as September 2026, represent the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied probability that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's expanded finance team and resolution of a key legal hurdle with Elon Musk, sharpening its timeline relative to Anthropic's earlier 2025 steps of retaining Wilson Sonsini and exploring a possible Q4 2026 window. Traders view OpenAI's active prospectus work and competitive urgency in the large language model space as tilting the race, though both companies' plans remain fluid amid shifting market conditions and regulatory considerations for artificial intelligence firms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$63,371 交易量
$63,371 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$63,371 交易量
$63,371 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated preparations for a confidential IPO filing in the coming weeks, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a potential public debut as early as September 2026, represent the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied probability that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's expanded finance team and resolution of a key legal hurdle with Elon Musk, sharpening its timeline relative to Anthropic's earlier 2025 steps of retaining Wilson Sonsini and exploring a possible Q4 2026 window. Traders view OpenAI's active prospectus work and competitive urgency in the large language model space as tilting the race, though both companies' plans remain fluid amid shifting market conditions and regulatory considerations for artificial intelligence firms.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$63,371结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated preparations for a confidential IPO filing in the coming weeks, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a potential public debut as early as September 2026, represent the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied probability that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's expanded finance team and resolution of a key legal hurdle with Elon Musk, sharpening its timeline relative to Anthropic's earlier 2025 steps of retaining Wilson Sonsini and exploring a possible Q4 2026 window. Traders view OpenAI's active prospectus work and competitive urgency in the large language model space as tilting the race, though both companies' plans remain fluid amid shifting market conditions and regulatory considerations for artificial intelligence firms.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$63,371结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated preparations for a confidential IPO filing in the coming weeks, with bankers including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley and a potential public debut as early as September 2026, represent the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied probability that it will list before Anthropic. Recent reports highlight OpenAI's expanded finance team and resolution of a key legal hurdle with Elon Musk, sharpening its timeline relative to Anthropic's earlier 2025 steps of retaining Wilson Sonsini and exploring a possible Q4 2026 window. Traders view OpenAI's active prospectus work and competitive urgency in the large language model space as tilting the race, though both companies' plans remain fluid amid shifting market conditions and regulatory considerations for artificial intelligence firms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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