OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file its IPO prospectus with regulators as soon as this week, targeting a potential September 2026 debut, are the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied odds it lists before Anthropic. Working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the ChatGPT maker has advanced its timeline amid surging artificial-intelligence demand and strong private valuations near $500 billion, while Anthropic continues internal discussions and funding rounds toward an October or later fourth-quarter window at roughly $900 billion. Traders view OpenAI’s momentum and earlier banker engagements as giving it a clear edge in this race between leading large language model developers, though both face typical execution risks around market conditions and regulatory reviews. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed filing dates and quarterly performance updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$63,371 交易量
$63,371 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$63,371 交易量
$63,371 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file its IPO prospectus with regulators as soon as this week, targeting a potential September 2026 debut, are the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied odds it lists before Anthropic. Working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the ChatGPT maker has advanced its timeline amid surging artificial-intelligence demand and strong private valuations near $500 billion, while Anthropic continues internal discussions and funding rounds toward an October or later fourth-quarter window at roughly $900 billion. Traders view OpenAI’s momentum and earlier banker engagements as giving it a clear edge in this race between leading large language model developers, though both face typical execution risks around market conditions and regulatory reviews. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed filing dates and quarterly performance updates.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$63,371结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file its IPO prospectus with regulators as soon as this week, targeting a potential September 2026 debut, are the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied odds it lists before Anthropic. Working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the ChatGPT maker has advanced its timeline amid surging artificial-intelligence demand and strong private valuations near $500 billion, while Anthropic continues internal discussions and funding rounds toward an October or later fourth-quarter window at roughly $900 billion. Traders view OpenAI’s momentum and earlier banker engagements as giving it a clear edge in this race between leading large language model developers, though both face typical execution risks around market conditions and regulatory reviews. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed filing dates and quarterly performance updates.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$63,371结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated preparations to confidentially file its IPO prospectus with regulators as soon as this week, targeting a potential September 2026 debut, are the primary driver behind the 75% market-implied odds it lists before Anthropic. Working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the ChatGPT maker has advanced its timeline amid surging artificial-intelligence demand and strong private valuations near $500 billion, while Anthropic continues internal discussions and funding rounds toward an October or later fourth-quarter window at roughly $900 billion. Traders view OpenAI’s momentum and earlier banker engagements as giving it a clear edge in this race between leading large language model developers, though both face typical execution risks around market conditions and regulatory reviews. Key near-term catalysts include any confirmed filing dates and quarterly performance updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题