OpenAI's accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks, as reported in mid-May 2026, have driven the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. The company has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft prospectus materials, targeting a potential debut as early as September or the fourth quarter amid its $20 billion 2025 revenue run rate and competitive positioning in large language models. Anthropic, while also eyeing a late-2026 window with prior legal preparations and strong funding momentum, shows no comparable filing activity, leaving its timeline less advanced. Key near-term catalysts include OpenAI's potential S-1 submission and any shifts in regulatory or market conditions that could affect both artificial intelligence firms' paths to public markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic
$63,926 交易量
$63,926 交易量
2027-12-31
Anthropic
$63,926 交易量
$63,926 交易量
2027-12-31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks, as reported in mid-May 2026, have driven the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. The company has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft prospectus materials, targeting a potential debut as early as September or the fourth quarter amid its $20 billion 2025 revenue run rate and competitive positioning in large language models. Anthropic, while also eyeing a late-2026 window with prior legal preparations and strong funding momentum, shows no comparable filing activity, leaving its timeline less advanced. Key near-term catalysts include OpenAI's potential S-1 submission and any shifts in regulatory or market conditions that could affect both artificial intelligence firms' paths to public markets.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$63,926结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks, as reported in mid-May 2026, have driven the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. The company has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft prospectus materials, targeting a potential debut as early as September or the fourth quarter amid its $20 billion 2025 revenue run rate and competitive positioning in large language models. Anthropic, while also eyeing a late-2026 window with prior legal preparations and strong funding momentum, shows no comparable filing activity, leaving its timeline less advanced. Key near-term catalysts include OpenAI's potential S-1 submission and any shifts in regulatory or market conditions that could affect both artificial intelligence firms' paths to public markets.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$63,926结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's accelerated preparations to confidentially file for an IPO in the coming weeks, as reported in mid-May 2026, have driven the 75.5% market-implied probability that it lists before Anthropic. The company has engaged Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to draft prospectus materials, targeting a potential debut as early as September or the fourth quarter amid its $20 billion 2025 revenue run rate and competitive positioning in large language models. Anthropic, while also eyeing a late-2026 window with prior legal preparations and strong funding momentum, shows no comparable filing activity, leaving its timeline less advanced. Key near-term catalysts include OpenAI's potential S-1 submission and any shifts in regulatory or market conditions that could affect both artificial intelligence firms' paths to public markets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题