Trader consensus heavily favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow, or official IPO announcement from the Blackstone-backed mobile app marketing platform, whose last private valuation topped $1.15 billion in 2021 amid Apple's ATT privacy shifts eroding ad tech growth. Broader market dynamics reinforce this: a tepid tech IPO window prioritizing AI and cloud over maturing ad platforms, with peers like AppLovin trading flat post-IPO. Realistic challenges include a sudden IPO market thaw via Fed rate cuts boosting valuations, or Liftoff's parent pursuing a high-multiple exit amid rebounding mobile ad spend, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent filings or exec statements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年4月前不上市 97.0%
42.5 亿–45 亿 2.7%
45亿–47.5亿 <1%
52.5 亿–55 亿 <1%
$78,126 交易量
$78,126 交易量
低于42.5亿美元
1%
42.5 亿–45 亿
3%
45亿–47.5亿
1%
47.5亿–50亿美元
1%
50亿–52.5亿
<1%
52.5 亿–55 亿
1%
55亿美元以上
1%
2026年4月前不上市
97%
2026年4月前不上市 97.0%
42.5 亿–45 亿 2.7%
45亿–47.5亿 <1%
52.5 亿–55 亿 <1%
$78,126 交易量
$78,126 交易量
低于42.5亿美元
1%
42.5 亿–45 亿
3%
45亿–47.5亿
1%
47.5亿–50亿美元
1%
50亿–52.5亿
<1%
52.5 亿–55 亿
1%
55亿美元以上
1%
2026年4月前不上市
97%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 (97% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow, or official IPO announcement from the Blackstone-backed mobile app marketing platform, whose last private valuation topped $1.15 billion in 2021 amid Apple's ATT privacy shifts eroding ad tech growth. Broader market dynamics reinforce this: a tepid tech IPO window prioritizing AI and cloud over maturing ad platforms, with peers like AppLovin trading flat post-IPO. Realistic challenges include a sudden IPO market thaw via Fed rate cuts boosting valuations, or Liftoff's parent pursuing a high-multiple exit amid rebounding mobile ad spend, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent filings or exec statements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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