Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (20.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (19.1%), reflecting dueling pressures from March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the hottest since mid-2024 amid Iran-fueled energy spikes—delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts to potentially October or later, capping upside via higher real yields and a DXY near 98. Counterbalancing safe-haven flows stem from ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, with spot gold holding above $4,800 and June GC futures at ~$4,840. Key swing factors include April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC; persistent geopolitical risks or softer data could tilt toward the upper bin, while de-escalation favors the lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4,600-5,000美元 21%
4,200-4,600美元 19.1%
5,000-5,400美元 16.7%
3,800-4,200美元 12.4%
$891,249 交易量
$891,249 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
6%
3,800-4,200美元
12%
4,200-4,600美元
19%
4,600-5,000美元
21%
5,000-5,400美元
17%
$5,400-$5,800
12%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
>6,200美元
4%
4,600-5,000美元 21%
4,200-4,600美元 19.1%
5,000-5,400美元 16.7%
3,800-4,200美元 12.4%
$891,249 交易量
$891,249 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
$219,178 交易量
6%
3,800-4,200美元
$46,851 交易量
12%
4,200-4,600美元
$45,837 交易量
19%
4,600-5,000美元
$42,995 交易量
21%
5,000-5,400美元
$52,892 交易量
17%
$5,400-$5,800
$50,330 交易量
12%
$5,800-$6,200
$242,842 交易量
7%
>6,200美元
$190,324 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (20.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (19.1%), reflecting dueling pressures from March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the hottest since mid-2024 amid Iran-fueled energy spikes—delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts to potentially October or later, capping upside via higher real yields and a DXY near 98. Counterbalancing safe-haven flows stem from ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, with spot gold holding above $4,800 and June GC futures at ~$4,840. Key swing factors include April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC; persistent geopolitical risks or softer data could tilt toward the upper bin, while de-escalation favors the lower.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$891,249结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (20.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (19.1%), reflecting dueling pressures from March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the hottest since mid-2024 amid Iran-fueled energy spikes—delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts to potentially October or later, capping upside via higher real yields and a DXY near 98. Counterbalancing safe-haven flows stem from ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, with spot gold holding above $4,800 and June GC futures at ~$4,840. Key swing factors include April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC; persistent geopolitical risks or softer data could tilt toward the upper bin, while de-escalation favors the lower.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$891,249结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight contest between $4,600-$5,000 (20.5% implied probability) and $4,200-$4,600 (19.1%), reflecting dueling pressures from March 2026 CPI inflation surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the hottest since mid-2024 amid Iran-fueled energy spikes—delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts to potentially October or later, capping upside via higher real yields and a DXY near 98. Counterbalancing safe-haven flows stem from ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, with spot gold holding above $4,800 and June GC futures at ~$4,840. Key swing factors include April CPI on May 12 and the next FOMC; persistent geopolitical risks or softer data could tilt toward the upper bin, while de-escalation favors the lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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