Recent gold futures prices near $4,300 per ounce, reflecting a pullback from 2026 highs above $5,500, position the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the market-implied favorite at 51.8% while the adjacent $3,800–$4,200 bin holds 40.6%. Persistent central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and expectations for further Fed easing amid moderating inflation and labor-market softening have capped downside, supporting prices above $4,000 despite stronger Treasury yields and a firmer dollar. Traders are pricing in limited volatility into the final June trading days, with any surprise upside inflation data or delayed rate-cut signals as the main swing factors that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4,200-4,600美元 48.7%
3,800-4,200美元 44.3%
4,600-5,000美元 8.8%
低于$3,800 1.2%
$1,069,539 交易量
$1,069,539 交易量
低于$3,800
1%
3,800-4,200美元
37%
4,200-4,600美元
49%
4,600-5,000美元
9%
5,000-5,400美元
<1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5,800-$6,200
<1%
>6,200美元
<1%
4,200-4,600美元 48.7%
3,800-4,200美元 44.3%
4,600-5,000美元 8.8%
低于$3,800 1.2%
$1,069,539 交易量
$1,069,539 交易量
低于$3,800
1%
3,800-4,200美元
37%
4,200-4,600美元
49%
4,600-5,000美元
9%
5,000-5,400美元
<1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5,800-$6,200
<1%
>6,200美元
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Recent gold futures prices near $4,300 per ounce, reflecting a pullback from 2026 highs above $5,500, position the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range as the market-implied favorite at 51.8% while the adjacent $3,800–$4,200 bin holds 40.6%. Persistent central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and expectations for further Fed easing amid moderating inflation and labor-market softening have capped downside, supporting prices above $4,000 despite stronger Treasury yields and a firmer dollar. Traders are pricing in limited volatility into the final June trading days, with any surprise upside inflation data or delayed rate-cut signals as the main swing factors that could shift implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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