Persistent central bank gold purchases, projected at elevated levels through 2026, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation readings, anchor trader consensus around the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range for June gold futures at 42.4% implied probability, followed by the $4,600–$5,000 bucket at 27.0%. Recent quotes near $4,370–$4,520 reflect these supports amid Fed policy uncertainty following the chair transition and mixed rate-cut expectations. Market-implied odds price in continued safe-haven demand while assigning lower weight to sharper moves beyond $5,000 or below $4,200 absent major shifts in monetary policy or global risk appetite before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4,200-4,600美元 42.4%
4,600-5,000美元 27%
3,800-4,200美元 18.9%
5,000-5,400美元 3.9%
$976,562 交易量
$976,562 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
4%
3,800-4,200美元
19%
4,200-4,600美元
42%
4,600-5,000美元
27%
5,000-5,400美元
4%
$5,400-$5,800
2%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>6,200美元
2%
4,200-4,600美元 42.4%
4,600-5,000美元 27%
3,800-4,200美元 18.9%
5,000-5,400美元 3.9%
$976,562 交易量
$976,562 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
$230,471 交易量
4%
3,800-4,200美元
$57,848 交易量
19%
4,200-4,600美元
$57,756 交易量
42%
4,600-5,000美元
$51,416 交易量
27%
5,000-5,400美元
$67,572 交易量
4%
$5,400-$5,800
$60,620 交易量
2%
$5,800-$6,200
$248,850 交易量
2%
>6,200美元
$202,030 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Persistent central bank gold purchases, projected at elevated levels through 2026, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation readings, anchor trader consensus around the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range for June gold futures at 42.4% implied probability, followed by the $4,600–$5,000 bucket at 27.0%. Recent quotes near $4,370–$4,520 reflect these supports amid Fed policy uncertainty following the chair transition and mixed rate-cut expectations. Market-implied odds price in continued safe-haven demand while assigning lower weight to sharper moves beyond $5,000 or below $4,200 absent major shifts in monetary policy or global risk appetite before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$976,562结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Persistent central bank gold purchases, projected at elevated levels through 2026, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation readings, anchor trader consensus around the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range for June gold futures at 42.4% implied probability, followed by the $4,600–$5,000 bucket at 27.0%. Recent quotes near $4,370–$4,520 reflect these supports amid Fed policy uncertainty following the chair transition and mixed rate-cut expectations. Market-implied odds price in continued safe-haven demand while assigning lower weight to sharper moves beyond $5,000 or below $4,200 absent major shifts in monetary policy or global risk appetite before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$976,562结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETPersistent central bank gold purchases, projected at elevated levels through 2026, combined with ongoing geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation readings, anchor trader consensus around the $4,200–$4,600 settlement range for June gold futures at 42.4% implied probability, followed by the $4,600–$5,000 bucket at 27.0%. Recent quotes near $4,370–$4,520 reflect these supports amid Fed policy uncertainty following the chair transition and mixed rate-cut expectations. Market-implied odds price in continued safe-haven demand while assigning lower weight to sharper moves beyond $5,000 or below $4,200 absent major shifts in monetary policy or global risk appetite before month-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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