Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,600-$5,000 implied probability at 31% narrowly leading $4,200-$4,600 (28.7%), reflecting spot prices hovering near $4,700 after a sharp pullback from $5,000+ peaks last week. Profit-taking amid temporarily easing Middle East tensions drove the recent 5-7% correction, counterbalanced by persistent safe-haven flows, robust central bank accumulation (projected 800 tonnes in 2026), and softer Treasury yields signaling Fed rate-cut bets. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC signals; hotter inflation or resilient U.S. growth could strengthen the dollar and favor lower bins, while escalating geopolitics tips odds higher. Consensus anticipates moderate upside into June amid structural bull drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4,600-5,000美元 31%
4,200-4,600美元 28.6%
5,000-5,400美元 15.7%
3,800-4,200美元 12.1%
$926,884 交易量
$926,884 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
2%
3,800-4,200美元
12%
4,200-4,600美元
29%
4,600-5,000美元
31%
5,000-5,400美元
16%
$5,400-$5,800
6%
$5,800-$6,200
3%
>6,200美元
2%
4,600-5,000美元 31%
4,200-4,600美元 28.6%
5,000-5,400美元 15.7%
3,800-4,200美元 12.1%
$926,884 交易量
$926,884 交易量
2026-06-30
低于$3,800
$223,225 交易量
2%
3,800-4,200美元
$49,571 交易量
12%
4,200-4,600美元
$54,545 交易量
29%
4,600-5,000美元
$48,682 交易量
31%
5,000-5,400美元
$58,206 交易量
16%
$5,400-$5,800
$52,323 交易量
6%
$5,800-$6,200
$244,463 交易量
3%
>6,200美元
$195,870 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,600-$5,000 implied probability at 31% narrowly leading $4,200-$4,600 (28.7%), reflecting spot prices hovering near $4,700 after a sharp pullback from $5,000+ peaks last week. Profit-taking amid temporarily easing Middle East tensions drove the recent 5-7% correction, counterbalanced by persistent safe-haven flows, robust central bank accumulation (projected 800 tonnes in 2026), and softer Treasury yields signaling Fed rate-cut bets. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC signals; hotter inflation or resilient U.S. growth could strengthen the dollar and favor lower bins, while escalating geopolitics tips odds higher. Consensus anticipates moderate upside into June amid structural bull drivers.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$926,884结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,600-$5,000 implied probability at 31% narrowly leading $4,200-$4,600 (28.7%), reflecting spot prices hovering near $4,700 after a sharp pullback from $5,000+ peaks last week. Profit-taking amid temporarily easing Middle East tensions drove the recent 5-7% correction, counterbalanced by persistent safe-haven flows, robust central bank accumulation (projected 800 tonnes in 2026), and softer Treasury yields signaling Fed rate-cut bets. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC signals; hotter inflation or resilient U.S. growth could strengthen the dollar and favor lower bins, while escalating geopolitics tips odds higher. Consensus anticipates moderate upside into June amid structural bull drivers.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$926,884结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETPolymarket traders price a tight contest for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, with $4,600-$5,000 implied probability at 31% narrowly leading $4,200-$4,600 (28.7%), reflecting spot prices hovering near $4,700 after a sharp pullback from $5,000+ peaks last week. Profit-taking amid temporarily easing Middle East tensions drove the recent 5-7% correction, counterbalanced by persistent safe-haven flows, robust central bank accumulation (projected 800 tonnes in 2026), and softer Treasury yields signaling Fed rate-cut bets. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC signals; hotter inflation or resilient U.S. growth could strengthen the dollar and favor lower bins, while escalating geopolitics tips odds higher. Consensus anticipates moderate upside into June amid structural bull drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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