Gold spot prices have plunged approximately 22% from the January 29, 2026 record high of $5,603 per ounce to $4,422 as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve signals pricing zero rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and resilient labor market data from the March nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases. A firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%—and reduced geopolitical risk premiums have accelerated the correction, with Comex GC front-month futures settling around $4,443 on March 26, down over 2%. As the March 31 resolution nears, traders eye month-end flows and potential positioning unwind for volatility, absent major scheduled catalysts like FOMC meetings. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus reflects this downside momentum across price targets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$3,031,722 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
<1%
↑ $7,000
<1%
↑ $6,600
<1%
↑ $6,400
<1%
↑ $6,200
<1%
↑ $6,000
<1%
↑ $5,800
<1%
↑ $5,600
<1%
↑ $5,500
<1%
↑ $5,400
<1%
↓ 4,300美元
4%
↓ 4,000美元
2%
↓ $3,600
<1%
↓ $3,000
<1%
$3,031,722 交易量
↑ $10,000
$322,547 交易量
<1%
↑ $7,000
$361,178 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,600
$106,212 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,400
$80,488 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,200
$98,763 交易量
<1%
↑ $6,000
$42,651 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,800
$77,025 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,600
$71,247 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,500
$64,986 交易量
<1%
↑ $5,400
$181,002 交易量
<1%
↓ 4,300美元
$197,467 交易量
4%
↓ 4,000美元
$230,094 交易量
2%
↓ $3,600
$221,379 交易量
<1%
↓ $3,000
$337,257 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold spot prices have plunged approximately 22% from the January 29, 2026 record high of $5,603 per ounce to $4,422 as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve signals pricing zero rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and resilient labor market data from the March nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases. A firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%—and reduced geopolitical risk premiums have accelerated the correction, with Comex GC front-month futures settling around $4,443 on March 26, down over 2%. As the March 31 resolution nears, traders eye month-end flows and potential positioning unwind for volatility, absent major scheduled catalysts like FOMC meetings. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus reflects this downside momentum across price targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
交易量
$3,031,722结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold spot prices have plunged approximately 22% from the January 29, 2026 record high of $5,603 per ounce to $4,422 as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve signals pricing zero rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and resilient labor market data from the March nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases. A firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%—and reduced geopolitical risk premiums have accelerated the correction, with Comex GC front-month futures settling around $4,443 on March 26, down over 2%. As the March 31 resolution nears, traders eye month-end flows and potential positioning unwind for volatility, absent major scheduled catalysts like FOMC meetings. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus reflects this downside momentum across price targets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$3,031,722结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold spot prices have plunged approximately 22% from the January 29, 2026 record high of $5,603 per ounce to $4,422 as of March 27, driven by hawkish Federal Reserve signals pricing zero rate cuts through 2026 amid persistent inflation above target and resilient labor market data from the March nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases. A firmer U.S. dollar—bolstered by 10-year Treasury yields near 4.5%—and reduced geopolitical risk premiums have accelerated the correction, with Comex GC front-month futures settling around $4,443 on March 26, down over 2%. As the March 31 resolution nears, traders eye month-end flows and potential positioning unwind for volatility, absent major scheduled catalysts like FOMC meetings. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus reflects this downside momentum across price targets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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