Gold futures (GC) have consolidated near $4,450–$4,600 per ounce in late May 2026 after retreating from January peaks above $5,500, as elevated real Treasury yields and a firmer U.S. dollar raised the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Hot April CPI at 3.8%—the highest since 2023—has led markets to price out 2026 rate cuts entirely following the latest FOMC communications, supporting higher policy rates in the 3.50–3.75% range. Offsetting these headwinds are structural inflows from central bank purchases exceeding 2,300 tonnes and geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East energy markets. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around end-of-June settlement levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$85,323 交易量
2026-06-30
8,000美元
1%
$7,000
1%
$6,500
2%
$6,200
2%
6,000美元
2%
5,800美元
3%
5,600美元
6%
$5,400
8%
5,200美元
8%
$5,000
12%
4,800美元
25%
$4,600
45%
$85,323 交易量
8,000美元
$3,112 交易量
1%
$7,000
$26,787 交易量
1%
$6,500
$3,074 交易量
2%
$6,200
$9,654 交易量
2%
6,000美元
$4,499 交易量
2%
5,800美元
$8,705 交易量
3%
5,600美元
$2,678 交易量
6%
$5,400
$1,848 交易量
8%
5,200美元
$3,542 交易量
8%
$5,000
$2,257 交易量
12%
4,800美元
$8,681 交易量
25%
$4,600
$10,488 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have consolidated near $4,450–$4,600 per ounce in late May 2026 after retreating from January peaks above $5,500, as elevated real Treasury yields and a firmer U.S. dollar raised the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Hot April CPI at 3.8%—the highest since 2023—has led markets to price out 2026 rate cuts entirely following the latest FOMC communications, supporting higher policy rates in the 3.50–3.75% range. Offsetting these headwinds are structural inflows from central bank purchases exceeding 2,300 tonnes and geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East energy markets. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around end-of-June settlement levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$85,323结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have consolidated near $4,450–$4,600 per ounce in late May 2026 after retreating from January peaks above $5,500, as elevated real Treasury yields and a firmer U.S. dollar raised the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Hot April CPI at 3.8%—the highest since 2023—has led markets to price out 2026 rate cuts entirely following the latest FOMC communications, supporting higher policy rates in the 3.50–3.75% range. Offsetting these headwinds are structural inflows from central bank purchases exceeding 2,300 tonnes and geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East energy markets. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around end-of-June settlement levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$85,323结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETGold futures (GC) have consolidated near $4,450–$4,600 per ounce in late May 2026 after retreating from January peaks above $5,500, as elevated real Treasury yields and a firmer U.S. dollar raised the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Hot April CPI at 3.8%—the highest since 2023—has led markets to price out 2026 rate cuts entirely following the latest FOMC communications, supporting higher policy rates in the 3.50–3.75% range. Offsetting these headwinds are structural inflows from central bank purchases exceeding 2,300 tonnes and geopolitical tensions tied to Middle East energy markets. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming May nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around end-of-June settlement levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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