Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward silver (SI) March settlement in the $75-$80 range at 43.2% implied probability, with <$75 a close second at 31%, signaling optimism for a sharp rally from current spot levels near $31.50/oz. Key drivers include anticipated Fed rate cuts weakening the USD—bolstering precious metals—coupled with surging industrial demand from solar panel production and EVs amid persistent supply deficits, as COMEX inventories hit multi-year lows. Recent catalysts: robust September ETF inflows exceeding 1,000 tonnes, China's stimulus boosting base metals, and silver's breakout above $30 on October CPI data showing sticky inflation. Watch November FOMC for policy pivots that could propel market-implied odds higher, though volatility risks from USD rebound loom.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$75-$80 40.1%
低于$75 32%
80-85美元 17.6%
85-90美元 6.4%
$175,795 交易量
$175,795 交易量
低于$75
32%
$75-$80
40%
80-85美元
18%
85-90美元
6%
$90-$95
3%
$95-$100
2%
100-105美元
1%
105-110美元
1%
110-115美元
1%
>115美元
1%
$75-$80 40.1%
低于$75 32%
80-85美元 17.6%
85-90美元 6.4%
$175,795 交易量
$175,795 交易量
低于$75
32%
$75-$80
40%
80-85美元
18%
85-90美元
6%
$90-$95
3%
$95-$100
2%
100-105美元
1%
105-110美元
1%
110-115美元
1%
>115美元
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward silver (SI) March settlement in the $75-$80 range at 43.2% implied probability, with <$75 a close second at 31%, signaling optimism for a sharp rally from current spot levels near $31.50/oz. Key drivers include anticipated Fed rate cuts weakening the USD—bolstering precious metals—coupled with surging industrial demand from solar panel production and EVs amid persistent supply deficits, as COMEX inventories hit multi-year lows. Recent catalysts: robust September ETF inflows exceeding 1,000 tonnes, China's stimulus boosting base metals, and silver's breakout above $30 on October CPI data showing sticky inflation. Watch November FOMC for policy pivots that could propel market-implied odds higher, though volatility risks from USD rebound loom.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题