Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 by March 29, driven primarily by the stock's recent momentum from robust Q4 earnings where AWS revenue surged 19% year-over-year, exceeding estimates and fueling AI infrastructure optimism. AMZN trades at $183.50 intraday, up 2.5% weekly amid broader tech rally, but faces resistance near $186 from February highs. Key risks include Thursday's CPI data, with hotter inflation potentially pressuring rate-sensitive growth stocks, and consumer spending slowdowns evident in softer retail sales. Historical end-of-March volatility averages 3%, underscoring resolution uncertainty as tax season liquidity peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$16,284 交易量
$150
100%
$160
98%
$170
98%
180美元
94%
190美元
92%
200美元
72%
210美元
42%
$220
35%
230美元
39%
240美元
17%
$250
2%
260美元
1%
270美元
1%
$16,284 交易量
$150
100%
$160
98%
$170
98%
180美元
94%
190美元
92%
200美元
72%
210美元
42%
$220
35%
230美元
39%
240美元
17%
$250
2%
260美元
1%
270美元
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 62% implied probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 by March 29, driven primarily by the stock's recent momentum from robust Q4 earnings where AWS revenue surged 19% year-over-year, exceeding estimates and fueling AI infrastructure optimism. AMZN trades at $183.50 intraday, up 2.5% weekly amid broader tech rally, but faces resistance near $186 from February highs. Key risks include Thursday's CPI data, with hotter inflation potentially pressuring rate-sensitive growth stocks, and consumer spending slowdowns evident in softer retail sales. Historical end-of-March volatility averages 3%, underscoring resolution uncertainty as tax season liquidity peaks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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