Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to Amazon (AMZN) finishing the week of March 23 above $195, propelled by surging AWS revenue from AI cloud demand, which beat Q4 expectations by 15% YoY. Shares trade at $192.50 midday, up 3% weekly on e-commerce rebound and cost-cutting gains, though macro headwinds linger from March 19 FOMC's hawkish tilt preserving 4.75-5% fed funds rate. Upcoming March 26 durable goods data could sway sentiment if manufacturing softens tech multiples. Weekly historical volatility of 2.1% implies a tight $188-$200 range, with bullish targets near $220 anchoring optimism amid $1.8T market cap stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于180美元
99%
185美元
91%
190美元
90%
$195
88%
200美元
74%
205美元
56%
$210
34%
215美元
19%
220美元
12%
225美元
8%
230美元
8%
235美元
1%
240美元
2%
$10 交易量
180美元
99%
185美元
91%
190美元
90%
$195
88%
200美元
74%
205美元
56%
$210
34%
215美元
19%
220美元
12%
225美元
8%
230美元
8%
235美元
1%
240美元
2%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62% implied probability to Amazon (AMZN) finishing the week of March 23 above $195, propelled by surging AWS revenue from AI cloud demand, which beat Q4 expectations by 15% YoY. Shares trade at $192.50 midday, up 3% weekly on e-commerce rebound and cost-cutting gains, though macro headwinds linger from March 19 FOMC's hawkish tilt preserving 4.75-5% fed funds rate. Upcoming March 26 durable goods data could sway sentiment if manufacturing softens tech multiples. Weekly historical volatility of 2.1% implies a tight $188-$200 range, with bullish targets near $220 anchoring optimism amid $1.8T market cap stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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