The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% amid escalating geopolitical tensions over Iran and surging oil prices that fueled inflation fears, erasing gains from earlier in the week when it traded above 6,500. Year-to-date, the index has declined roughly 8% from January's peak near 6,929, reflecting trader concerns over persistent inflation signals and potential delays in Federal Reserve rate cuts. With the end-of-March resolution on March 31 approaching—just two trading days away—focus sharpens on quarter-end rebalancing flows and the upcoming February core PCE inflation data release, expected late this week, which could sway rate expectations and volatility as measured by the VIX. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, pricing in risks to large-cap equities amid tighter monetary policy outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$630,203 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
↑ $8,000
<1%
↑ 7,500美元
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
<1%
↑ 7,200美元
<1%
↑ 7,100
<1%
↑ 7,000美元
<1%
↑ 6,900美元
1%
↓ 6,300美元
62%
↓ 6,200美元
31%
↓ 6,000美元
6%
↓ 5,000美元
<1%
$630,203 交易量
↑ $8,000
$0 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,500美元
$36,742 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,300美元
$77,410 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,200美元
$5,032 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,100
$40,217 交易量
<1%
↑ 7,000美元
$24,695 交易量
<1%
↑ 6,900美元
$16,590 交易量
1%
↓ 6,300美元
$111,156 交易量
62%
↓ 6,200美元
$35,812 交易量
31%
↓ 6,000美元
$51,271 交易量
6%
↓ 5,000美元
$157,948 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% amid escalating geopolitical tensions over Iran and surging oil prices that fueled inflation fears, erasing gains from earlier in the week when it traded above 6,500. Year-to-date, the index has declined roughly 8% from January's peak near 6,929, reflecting trader concerns over persistent inflation signals and potential delays in Federal Reserve rate cuts. With the end-of-March resolution on March 31 approaching—just two trading days away—focus sharpens on quarter-end rebalancing flows and the upcoming February core PCE inflation data release, expected late this week, which could sway rate expectations and volatility as measured by the VIX. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, pricing in risks to large-cap equities amid tighter monetary policy outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
交易量
$630,203结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% amid escalating geopolitical tensions over Iran and surging oil prices that fueled inflation fears, erasing gains from earlier in the week when it traded above 6,500. Year-to-date, the index has declined roughly 8% from January's peak near 6,929, reflecting trader concerns over persistent inflation signals and potential delays in Federal Reserve rate cuts. With the end-of-March resolution on March 31 approaching—just two trading days away—focus sharpens on quarter-end rebalancing flows and the upcoming February core PCE inflation data release, expected late this week, which could sway rate expectations and volatility as measured by the VIX. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, pricing in risks to large-cap equities amid tighter monetary policy outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$630,203结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 1.67% amid escalating geopolitical tensions over Iran and surging oil prices that fueled inflation fears, erasing gains from earlier in the week when it traded above 6,500. Year-to-date, the index has declined roughly 8% from January's peak near 6,929, reflecting trader concerns over persistent inflation signals and potential delays in Federal Reserve rate cuts. With the end-of-March resolution on March 31 approaching—just two trading days away—focus sharpens on quarter-end rebalancing flows and the upcoming February core PCE inflation data release, expected late this week, which could sway rate expectations and volatility as measured by the VIX. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty, pricing in risks to large-cap equities amid tighter monetary policy outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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