The S&P 500 (SPX) hovers near all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by blockbuster third-quarter earnings from megacap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta, which beat revenue and margin expectations amid AI investment fervor. Post-election optimism around deregulation and tax cuts under President-elect Trump has fueled trader consensus for year-end gains, with implied probabilities reflecting 20x forward earnings multiples versus historical averages. The Federal Reserve's December 18 hold on rates—paired with 2025 dot plot signaling two quarter-point cuts—bolsters soft-landing hopes despite sticky inflation readings. Key catalysts include December nonfarm payrolls on December 6 and final consumer confidence data, as positioning flows into tax-loss harvesting and window dressing ahead of January 1 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 9,300美元
6%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
13%
↑ 7,800美元
25%
↑ 7,600美元
37%
↑ 7,400美元
40%
↓ 6,400美元
97%
↓ 6,200美元
79%
↓ 5,800
75%
↓ 5,200
45%
↓ 4,500美元
17%
$7,373 交易量
↑ 9,300美元
$0 交易量
6%
↑ 8,600美元
$0 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$0 交易量
13%
↑ 7,800美元
$328 交易量
25%
↑ 7,600美元
$0 交易量
37%
↑ 7,400美元
$0 交易量
40%
↓ 6,400美元
$1,490 交易量
97%
↓ 6,200美元
$1,308 交易量
79%
↓ 5,800
$1,292 交易量
75%
↓ 5,200
$2,955 交易量
45%
↓ 4,500美元
$0 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 (SPX) hovers near all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by blockbuster third-quarter earnings from megacap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta, which beat revenue and margin expectations amid AI investment fervor. Post-election optimism around deregulation and tax cuts under President-elect Trump has fueled trader consensus for year-end gains, with implied probabilities reflecting 20x forward earnings multiples versus historical averages. The Federal Reserve's December 18 hold on rates—paired with 2025 dot plot signaling two quarter-point cuts—bolsters soft-landing hopes despite sticky inflation readings. Key catalysts include December nonfarm payrolls on December 6 and final consumer confidence data, as positioning flows into tax-loss harvesting and window dressing ahead of January 1 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$7,373结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 (SPX) hovers near all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by blockbuster third-quarter earnings from megacap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta, which beat revenue and margin expectations amid AI investment fervor. Post-election optimism around deregulation and tax cuts under President-elect Trump has fueled trader consensus for year-end gains, with implied probabilities reflecting 20x forward earnings multiples versus historical averages. The Federal Reserve's December 18 hold on rates—paired with 2025 dot plot signaling two quarter-point cuts—bolsters soft-landing hopes despite sticky inflation readings. Key catalysts include December nonfarm payrolls on December 6 and final consumer confidence data, as positioning flows into tax-loss harvesting and window dressing ahead of January 1 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$7,373结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 (SPX) hovers near all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by blockbuster third-quarter earnings from megacap tech firms like Nvidia and Meta, which beat revenue and margin expectations amid AI investment fervor. Post-election optimism around deregulation and tax cuts under President-elect Trump has fueled trader consensus for year-end gains, with implied probabilities reflecting 20x forward earnings multiples versus historical averages. The Federal Reserve's December 18 hold on rates—paired with 2025 dot plot signaling two quarter-point cuts—bolsters soft-landing hopes despite sticky inflation readings. Key catalysts include December nonfarm payrolls on December 6 and final consumer confidence data, as positioning flows into tax-loss harvesting and window dressing ahead of January 1 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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