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icon for 标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?

标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?

icon for 标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?

标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?

$70,037 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$70,037 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 9,300美元

$2,571 交易量

4%

↑ 8,600美元

$4,359 交易量

9%

↑ 8,200美元

$1,441 交易量

22%

↑ 7,800美元

$753 交易量

50%

↑ 7,600美元

$3,746 交易量

76%

↑ 7,400美元

$2,832 交易量

90%

↓ 6,200美元

$11,785 交易量

45%

↓ 5,800

$12,022 交易量

29%

↓ 5,200

$9,048 交易量

16%

↓ 4,500美元

$12,881 交易量

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh record highs above 7,330 as of May 7, 2026, gaining over 7% in the past month amid stronger-than-expected Q1 earnings beats across sectors, particularly technology, and resilient labor market data with unemployment holding near 4%. This upward momentum reflects trader consensus on 12-15% full-year earnings per share growth, buoyed by AI-driven revenue trends, though JPMorgan recently trimmed its year-end target to 7,200 citing valuation risks. The April FOMC statement noted subdued job gains, curbing aggressive rate cut bets with fed funds futures implying stability near current levels. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12, May nonfarm payrolls, and the June FOMC meeting, which could sway end-December trajectories versus analyst medians around 7,500.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$70,037
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh record highs above 7,330 as of May 7, 2026, gaining over 7% in the past month amid stronger-than-expected Q1 earnings beats across sectors, particularly technology, and resilient labor market data with unemployment holding near 4%. This upward momentum reflects trader consensus on 12-15% full-year earnings per share growth, buoyed by AI-driven revenue trends, though JPMorgan recently trimmed its year-end target to 7,200 citing valuation risks. The April FOMC statement noted subdued job gains, curbing aggressive rate cut bets with fed funds futures implying stability near current levels. Key catalysts ahead include April CPI on May 12, May nonfarm payrolls, and the June FOMC meeting, which could sway end-December trajectories versus analyst medians around 7,500.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$70,037
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"↓ 6,600美元",概率为 100%,其次是"↓ 6,400美元",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"已产生 $70K 的总交易量(自Jan 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"的当前领先者是"↓ 6,600美元",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"↓ 6,400美元",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"标准普尔500指数( SPX )将在12月底前达到什么水平?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。