The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,350, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings growth exceeding 27% year-over-year and resilient corporate margins amid AI-driven productivity gains in tech heavyweights. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing in elevated implied probabilities for year-end levels well above current trading around 7,370, supported by analyst EPS forecasts of $330 (up 22% YoY per JPMorgan). However, March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% from 2.4%, with unemployment steady at 4.3%, tempering rate cut expectations ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming nonfarm payrolls data. Midterm elections in November loom as a volatility catalyst, potentially shifting monetary policy and risk appetite through December resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$69,915 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ 9,300美元
4%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
22%
↑ 7,800美元
50%
↑ 7,600美元
76%
↑ 7,400美元
92%
↓ 6,200美元
45%
↓ 5,800
28%
↓ 5,200
15%
↓ 4,500美元
10%
$69,915 交易量
↑ 9,300美元
$2,571 交易量
4%
↑ 8,600美元
$4,359 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$1,419 交易量
22%
↑ 7,800美元
$753 交易量
50%
↑ 7,600美元
$3,746 交易量
76%
↑ 7,400美元
$2,791 交易量
92%
↓ 6,200美元
$11,785 交易量
45%
↓ 5,800
$12,016 交易量
28%
↓ 5,200
$8,995 交易量
15%
↓ 4,500美元
$12,881 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,350, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings growth exceeding 27% year-over-year and resilient corporate margins amid AI-driven productivity gains in tech heavyweights. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing in elevated implied probabilities for year-end levels well above current trading around 7,370, supported by analyst EPS forecasts of $330 (up 22% YoY per JPMorgan). However, March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% from 2.4%, with unemployment steady at 4.3%, tempering rate cut expectations ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming nonfarm payrolls data. Midterm elections in November loom as a volatility catalyst, potentially shifting monetary policy and risk appetite through December resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$69,915结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,350, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings growth exceeding 27% year-over-year and resilient corporate margins amid AI-driven productivity gains in tech heavyweights. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing in elevated implied probabilities for year-end levels well above current trading around 7,370, supported by analyst EPS forecasts of $330 (up 22% YoY per JPMorgan). However, March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% from 2.4%, with unemployment steady at 4.3%, tempering rate cut expectations ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming nonfarm payrolls data. Midterm elections in November loom as a volatility catalyst, potentially shifting monetary policy and risk appetite through December resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$69,915结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThe S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 7,350, propelled by robust Q1 2026 earnings growth exceeding 27% year-over-year and resilient corporate margins amid AI-driven productivity gains in tech heavyweights. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this momentum, pricing in elevated implied probabilities for year-end levels well above current trading around 7,370, supported by analyst EPS forecasts of $330 (up 22% YoY per JPMorgan). However, March CPI inflation accelerated to 3.3% from 2.4%, with unemployment steady at 4.3%, tempering rate cut expectations ahead of the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming nonfarm payrolls data. Midterm elections in November loom as a volatility catalyst, potentially shifting monetary policy and risk appetite through December resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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