Trader sentiment on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects broad uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, inflation trends, and corporate earnings growth through year-end. With the $7,000–$7,500 range holding a modest 24% edge and the $7,500–$8,000 bucket close behind at 21%, markets price in a base-case scenario of steady but not exceptional expansion, supported by resilient labor data and moderate rate cuts. Higher outcomes above $8,000 capture optimism on productivity gains and risk appetite, while lower bins account for downside risks from persistent inflation or slower GDP. Key swing factors include upcoming FOMC decisions, second-quarter earnings reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter growth expectations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7,000-7,500 24%
7,500-8,000美元 21%
高于8,000美元 17%
6,000-6,500美元 13%
$28,058 交易量
$28,058 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
8%
6,000-6,500美元
13%
6,500-7,000美元
12%
7,000-7,500
24%
7,500-8,000美元
21%
高于8,000美元
17%
7,000-7,500 24%
7,500-8,000美元 21%
高于8,000美元 17%
6,000-6,500美元 13%
$28,058 交易量
$28,058 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
$16,273 交易量
8%
6,000-6,500美元
$1,641 交易量
13%
6,500-7,000美元
$2,943 交易量
12%
7,000-7,500
$1,311 交易量
24%
7,500-8,000美元
$2,945 交易量
21%
高于8,000美元
$2,946 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects broad uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, inflation trends, and corporate earnings growth through year-end. With the $7,000–$7,500 range holding a modest 24% edge and the $7,500–$8,000 bucket close behind at 21%, markets price in a base-case scenario of steady but not exceptional expansion, supported by resilient labor data and moderate rate cuts. Higher outcomes above $8,000 capture optimism on productivity gains and risk appetite, while lower bins account for downside risks from persistent inflation or slower GDP. Key swing factors include upcoming FOMC decisions, second-quarter earnings reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter growth expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
交易量
$28,058结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects broad uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, inflation trends, and corporate earnings growth through year-end. With the $7,000–$7,500 range holding a modest 24% edge and the $7,500–$8,000 bucket close behind at 21%, markets price in a base-case scenario of steady but not exceptional expansion, supported by resilient labor data and moderate rate cuts. Higher outcomes above $8,000 capture optimism on productivity gains and risk appetite, while lower bins account for downside risks from persistent inflation or slower GDP. Key swing factors include upcoming FOMC decisions, second-quarter earnings reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter growth expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$28,058结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETTrader sentiment on the S&P 500's 2026 year-end close reflects broad uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path, inflation trends, and corporate earnings growth through year-end. With the $7,000–$7,500 range holding a modest 24% edge and the $7,500–$8,000 bucket close behind at 21%, markets price in a base-case scenario of steady but not exceptional expansion, supported by resilient labor data and moderate rate cuts. Higher outcomes above $8,000 capture optimism on productivity gains and risk appetite, while lower bins account for downside risks from persistent inflation or slower GDP. Key swing factors include upcoming FOMC decisions, second-quarter earnings reports, and any shifts in Treasury yields that could alter growth expectations before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题