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财务·财富奖励300

标准普尔500指数（ SPX ）高于3月底的___ ？

Market icon
财务·财富奖励300

标准普尔500指数（ SPX ）高于3月底的___ ？

Mar 31

Mar 31

$71,494 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$71,494 交易量

Polymarket

>7100美元

$1,920 交易量

1%

>7,000美元

$1,804 交易量

6%

>6,900美元

$11,972 交易量

1%

>6,800美元

$1,555 交易量

1%

>6,700美元

$11,499 交易量

5%

>6,600美元

$25,684 交易量

12%

>6,500美元

$17,060 交易量

30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on S&P 500 positioning above key end-of-March thresholds reflects optimism from cooling inflation pressures, with February CPI rising just 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—and core PCE steady at 2.9%, bolstering expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June per market-implied Fed funds futures. The index recently hit all-time highs above 5,800, propelled by robust tech earnings from Nvidia and others, with sector weightings driving nearly 60% of gains. However, risks loom from upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and initial Q1 earnings reports, where revenue beats could sustain momentum or misses expose valuation strains at 22x forward earnings. Polymarket odds aggregate this real-money consensus amid heightened volatility from VIX readings near 15.

Trader sentiment on S&P 500 positioning above key end-of-March thresholds reflects optimism from cooling inflation pressures, with February CPI rising just 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—and core PCE steady at 2.9%, bolstering expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June per market-implied Fed funds futures. The index recently hit all-time highs above 5,800, propelled by robust tech earnings from Nvidia and others, with sector weightings driving nearly 60% of gains. However, risks loom from upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and initial Q1 earnings reports, where revenue beats could sustain momentum or misses expose valuation strains at 22x forward earnings. Polymarket odds aggregate this real-money consensus amid heightened volatility from VIX readings near 15.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on S&P 500 positioning above key end-of-March thresholds reflects optimism from cooling inflation pressures, with February CPI rising just 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—and core PCE steady at 2.9%, bolstering expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June per market-implied Fed funds futures. The index recently hit all-time highs above 5,800, propelled by robust tech earnings from Nvidia and others, with sector weightings driving nearly 60% of gains. However, risks loom from upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and initial Q1 earnings reports, where revenue beats could sustain momentum or misses expose valuation strains at 22x forward earnings. Polymarket odds aggregate this real-money consensus amid heightened volatility from VIX readings near 15.

Trader sentiment on S&P 500 positioning above key end-of-March thresholds reflects optimism from cooling inflation pressures, with February CPI rising just 2.8% year-over-year—below consensus—and core PCE steady at 2.9%, bolstering expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June per market-implied Fed funds futures. The index recently hit all-time highs above 5,800, propelled by robust tech earnings from Nvidia and others, with sector weightings driving nearly 60% of gains. However, risks loom from upcoming March 19 FOMC meeting and initial Q1 earnings reports, where revenue beats could sustain momentum or misses expose valuation strains at 22x forward earnings. Polymarket odds aggregate this real-money consensus amid heightened volatility from VIX readings near 15.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"标准普尔500指数（ SPX ）高于3月底的___ ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为">6,500美元"，概率为 30%，其次是">6,600美元"，概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 30¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 30%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"标准普尔500指数（ SPX ）高于3月底的___ ？"已产生 $71.5K 的总交易量（自Mar 3, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"标准普尔500指数（ SPX ）高于3月底的___ ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"标准普尔500指数（ SPX ）高于3月底的___ ？"的当前领先者是">6,500美元"，概率为 30%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 30%。紧随其后的结果是">6,600美元"，概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"标准普尔500指数（ SPX ）高于3月底的___ ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。