Polymarket traders price modest upside for the S&P 500 by end-June 2026, with implied probabilities peaking at 70% for reaching $6,300 and falling to 20% at $7,050 amid a recent correction from January's 7,002 peak to around 6,530. February's softening labor data—92,000 payroll losses and unemployment rising to 4.4%—has fueled recession concerns, while CPI advanced 0.3%, keeping inflation sticky against a Fed funds rate of 3.5%-3.75% and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Q1 earnings season kicks off with 11-12% growth consensus, but the April 28-29 FOMC and June 16-17 meetings loom as pivotal catalysts for rate path expectations and risk appetite.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$22,886 交易量
2026-06-30
↑ 8,000美元
3%
↑ 7,700美元
8%
↑ 7,450美元
9%
↑ 7,300美元
14%
↑ 7,150美元
20%
↑ 7,050美元
20%
↓ 6,300
80%
↓ 6,000美元
40%
$22,886 交易量
↑ 8,000美元
$2,039 交易量
3%
↑ 7,700美元
$693 交易量
8%
↑ 7,450美元
$1,207 交易量
9%
↑ 7,300美元
$1,390 交易量
14%
↑ 7,150美元
$2,770 交易量
20%
↑ 7,050美元
$5,117 交易量
20%
↓ 6,300
$4,643 交易量
80%
↓ 6,000美元
$3,519 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Polymarket traders price modest upside for the S&P 500 by end-June 2026, with implied probabilities peaking at 70% for reaching $6,300 and falling to 20% at $7,050 amid a recent correction from January's 7,002 peak to around 6,530. February's softening labor data—92,000 payroll losses and unemployment rising to 4.4%—has fueled recession concerns, while CPI advanced 0.3%, keeping inflation sticky against a Fed funds rate of 3.5%-3.75% and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Q1 earnings season kicks off with 11-12% growth consensus, but the April 28-29 FOMC and June 16-17 meetings loom as pivotal catalysts for rate path expectations and risk appetite.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
交易量
$22,886结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Polymarket traders price modest upside for the S&P 500 by end-June 2026, with implied probabilities peaking at 70% for reaching $6,300 and falling to 20% at $7,050 amid a recent correction from January's 7,002 peak to around 6,530. February's softening labor data—92,000 payroll losses and unemployment rising to 4.4%—has fueled recession concerns, while CPI advanced 0.3%, keeping inflation sticky against a Fed funds rate of 3.5%-3.75% and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Q1 earnings season kicks off with 11-12% growth consensus, but the April 28-29 FOMC and June 16-17 meetings loom as pivotal catalysts for rate path expectations and risk appetite.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$22,886结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ETPolymarket traders price modest upside for the S&P 500 by end-June 2026, with implied probabilities peaking at 70% for reaching $6,300 and falling to 20% at $7,050 amid a recent correction from January's 7,002 peak to around 6,530. February's softening labor data—92,000 payroll losses and unemployment rising to 4.4%—has fueled recession concerns, while CPI advanced 0.3%, keeping inflation sticky against a Fed funds rate of 3.5%-3.75% and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. Q1 earnings season kicks off with 11-12% growth consensus, but the April 28-29 FOMC and June 16-17 meetings loom as pivotal catalysts for rate path expectations and risk appetite.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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