Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters Amazon's March 23 weekly close in the $200-$210 band at 21% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $200-$205 (18.5%) and $210-$215 (15%), reflecting balanced bets on AWS growth versus retail headwinds. Recent Q4 results showcased 19% AWS acceleration and AI capex efficiency, fueling upside sentiment toward $215+, while e-commerce margin pressures from promotions and potential tariffs weigh on sub-$200 odds (13%). Key differentiators include March 18-19 FOMC rate outlook—dovish cuts could propel past $210 resistance—and March 12 CPI data; historical pre-Fed volatility averages 4% swings, with trader capital tilting modestly bullish on cloud dominance amid peer competition from Microsoft Azure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于205-210美元 21%
$200-$205 19%
$210-$215 15%
195-200美元 13%
低于185美元
9%
185美元-190美元
9%
190-195美元
9%
195-200美元
13%
$200-$205
19%
205-210美元
21%
$210-$215
15%
215-220美元
11%
220-225美元
8%
225美元-230美元
8%
>230美元
8%
205-210美元 21%
$200-$205 19%
$210-$215 15%
195-200美元 13%
低于185美元
9%
185美元-190美元
9%
190-195美元
9%
195-200美元
13%
$200-$205
19%
205-210美元
21%
$210-$215
15%
215-220美元
11%
220-225美元
8%
225美元-230美元
8%
>230美元
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters Amazon's March 23 weekly close in the $200-$210 band at 21% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $200-$205 (18.5%) and $210-$215 (15%), reflecting balanced bets on AWS growth versus retail headwinds. Recent Q4 results showcased 19% AWS acceleration and AI capex efficiency, fueling upside sentiment toward $215+, while e-commerce margin pressures from promotions and potential tariffs weigh on sub-$200 odds (13%). Key differentiators include March 18-19 FOMC rate outlook—dovish cuts could propel past $210 resistance—and March 12 CPI data; historical pre-Fed volatility averages 4% swings, with trader capital tilting modestly bullish on cloud dominance amid peer competition from Microsoft Azure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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