Polymarket traders price an 8-13% AAPL upside to $245-$255 by week's end March 23, 2025, with $245-$250 (31%) edging $250-$255 (29%) amid tight competition reflecting balanced AI optimism against China headwinds. From current levels near $226, implied probabilities aggregate real capital betting on services revenue acceleration (up 14% YoY in Q4) and Apple Intelligence adoption to offset iPhone hardware slowdowns, per recent earnings. Key differentiators include March FOMC rate signals—traders eye 25bps cut odds at 70%—and CPI data, with historical precedent showing tech rallies on dovish policy. Election volatility and EU probes add tail risks, keeping <$235 at 23% combined.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$245-$250 32%
250-255美元 30%
$240-$245 26%
255美元-260美元 14%
低于225美元
11%
225-230美元
11%
$230-$235
11%
235美元-240美元
12%
$240-$245
26%
$245-$250
32%
250-255美元
30%
255美元-260美元
14%
$260-$265
9%
$265-$270
11%
>270美元
8%
$245-$250 32%
250-255美元 30%
$240-$245 26%
255美元-260美元 14%
低于225美元
11%
225-230美元
11%
$230-$235
11%
235美元-240美元
12%
$240-$245
26%
$245-$250
32%
250-255美元
30%
255美元-260美元
14%
$260-$265
9%
$265-$270
11%
>270美元
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 8-13% AAPL upside to $245-$255 by week's end March 23, 2025, with $245-$250 (31%) edging $250-$255 (29%) amid tight competition reflecting balanced AI optimism against China headwinds. From current levels near $226, implied probabilities aggregate real capital betting on services revenue acceleration (up 14% YoY in Q4) and Apple Intelligence adoption to offset iPhone hardware slowdowns, per recent earnings. Key differentiators include March FOMC rate signals—traders eye 25bps cut odds at 70%—and CPI data, with historical precedent showing tech rallies on dovish policy. Election volatility and EU probes add tail risks, keeping <$235 at 23% combined.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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