GameStop's Q2 FY2025 earnings release on September 10 drove Polymarket's "Yes" odds to 100%, as the company reported adjusted EPS of $0.01 versus consensus estimates of -$0.01, marking a clear beat despite a revenue shortfall to $798 million from $807 million expected. This outcome, confirmed via official SEC filings, reflects ironclad trader consensus backed by real capital, with negligible arbitrage opportunities remaining. Tail risks are slim—primarily resolution disputes over "beat" definitions (e.g., GAAP vs. adjusted metrics) or rare audit revisions—but macroeconomic pressures like softening consumer spending could indirectly inform future quarters amid GME's ongoing transformation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
是
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
If GameStop releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
市场开放时间: Mar 10, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
If GameStop releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
GameStop's Q2 FY2025 earnings release on September 10 drove Polymarket's "Yes" odds to 100%, as the company reported adjusted EPS of $0.01 versus consensus estimates of -$0.01, marking a clear beat despite a revenue shortfall to $798 million from $807 million expected. This outcome, confirmed via official SEC filings, reflects ironclad trader consensus backed by real capital, with negligible arbitrage opportunities remaining. Tail risks are slim—primarily resolution disputes over "beat" definitions (e.g., GAAP vs. adjusted metrics) or rare audit revisions—but macroeconomic pressures like softening consumer spending could indirectly inform future quarters amid GME's ongoing transformation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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