Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above $225 by March 31, reflecting optimism around AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycles despite recent China sales weakness. Current share price hovers at $223 after a 2% weekly gain, buoyed by analyst upgrades citing $120B buyback authorization and services revenue growth hitting 11% YoY in Q1. Key risks include EU antitrust probes and softening iPhone demand, with implied volatility at 25% signaling caution. Watch March 28 CPI data and Fed signals, as higher rates could pressure tech valuations; resolution hinges on Friday's close above the threshold amid $2.5T market cap dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$246,601 交易量
210美元
98%
$220
96%
230美元
95%
240美元
81%
250美元
48%
$260
25%
$270
4%
280美元
14%
$290
2%
300美元
2%
310美元
1%
$320
1%
$330
1%
$246,601 交易量
210美元
98%
$220
96%
230美元
95%
240美元
81%
250美元
48%
$260
25%
$270
4%
280美元
14%
$290
2%
300美元
2%
310美元
1%
$320
1%
$330
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市场开放时间: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above $225 by March 31, reflecting optimism around AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycles despite recent China sales weakness. Current share price hovers at $223 after a 2% weekly gain, buoyed by analyst upgrades citing $120B buyback authorization and services revenue growth hitting 11% YoY in Q1. Key risks include EU antitrust probes and softening iPhone demand, with implied volatility at 25% signaling caution. Watch March 28 CPI data and Fed signals, as higher rates could pressure tech valuations; resolution hinges on Friday's close above the threshold amid $2.5T market cap dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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