Skip to main content

预测与赔率

·
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

21%

December 31

$22M 交易量

$1M today

$513K Liq.

184

Ends 7 个月内

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

46%

December 31

$11M 交易量

$625K today

$238K Liq.

178

Ends 7 个月内

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

8%

$1M 交易量

$48.5K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

24%

$2M 交易量

$28.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

59%

$411K 交易量

$51.1K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

32%

$490 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 2 个月内

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

30%

Oil Sanction Relief

$7M 交易量

$559K today

$251K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

69%

Oil Sanction Relief

$27.4K 交易量

$28.7K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will Trump say this week? (May 31)

What will Trump say this week? (May 31)

86%

Dumbocrat / Dumocrat / Dumacrat

$21.3K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

What will Trump post this week? (May 31)

What will Trump post this week? (May 31)

99%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$11.9K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

55%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

129

Ends 7 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$484K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

31

Ends 超过 1 年内

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

31%

↑ $4,600

$954K 交易量

$50.8K today

$175K Liq.

6

Ends 5 天内

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in June 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in June 2026?

84%

↓ $4,500

$0 交易量

$508 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

36%

↑ $80

$570K 交易量

$122K Liq.

4

Ends 5 天内

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$667K 交易量

$32.2K Liq.

22

Ends 大约 2 个月前

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

24%

$23.2K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in June 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in June 2026?

54%

↑ $3.20

$0 交易量

$530 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

76%

50

$20.4K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

19%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$882 Liq.

5

Ends 7 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 铀 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 113 个活跃的 铀 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $48.6M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 21%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 铀 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。