美国在……之前进行核试验?
$376,942 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
2026年3月31日
$82,847 交易量
3%
2026年3月31日
$82,847 交易量
3%
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
创建于: Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$376,942结束日期
Mar 31, 2026创建于
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...美国在……之前进行核试验?
$376,942 交易量
2026年3月31日
$82,847 交易量
3%
关于
交易量
$376,942结束日期
Mar 31, 2026创建于
Nov 5, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。

注意外部链接。
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